Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 845
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 10, 2006, 2:44 PM CST for 31 counties in Arkansas; 22 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2006, 2:44 PM CST (20:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 10, 2006, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 53 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Phelps, Pulaski | 43 min |
| Nov 10, 2:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas | 62 min |
| Nov 10, 3:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 3:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent | 15 min |
| Nov 10, 4:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Iron, Washington | 44 min |
| Nov 10, 4:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton | 63 min |
| Nov 10, 4:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 54 min |
| Nov 10, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Francois, Washington | 47 min |
| Nov 10, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Reynolds | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 4:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 26 min |
| Nov 10, 5:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 19 min |
| Nov 10, 5:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 41 min |
| Nov 10, 5:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 5:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 39 min |
| Nov 10, 6:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, White | 58 min |
| Nov 10, 6:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 46 min |
| Nov 10, 6:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Prairie | 55 min |
| Nov 10, 6:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant | 50 min |
| Nov 10, 7:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski | 59 min |
| Nov 10, 7:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie | 60 min |
| Nov 10, 7:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jefferson | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1061 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -86 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 596 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 223 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 1:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 33 more | 94 min |
| Nov 10, 4:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead and 5 more | 87 min |
| Nov 10, 5:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Desha and 6 more | 5 hr |
| Nov 10, 5:29 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 1 more | 91 min |
| Nov 10, 5:57 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 4 more | 5 hr |
| Nov 10, 9:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, Fulton and 24 more | 116 min |
| Nov 10, 12:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Fulton, Greene and 13 more | 58 min |
| Nov 10, 12:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Cass, Fulton and 20 more | 5 hr |
| Nov 10, 3:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Champaign, Christian, DeWitt, Ford, Greene and 23 more | 60 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.