Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 847

November 10, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 10, 2006, 5:57 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 10, 2006, 5:57 PM CST (23:57 UTC)
Expired
Nov 10, 2006, 11:00 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 6:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGGreene38 min
Nov 10, 7:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGGreene33 min
Nov 10, 8:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 345 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-11-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1061 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-11-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 220 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1061 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 1:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 33 more94 min
Nov 10, 2:44 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton and 25 more7 hr
Nov 10, 4:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead and 5 more87 min
Nov 10, 5:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Desha and 6 more5 hr
Nov 10, 5:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 1 more91 min
Nov 10, 9:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Lewis, Marion, Pike, Ralls116 min
Nov 10, 12:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton and 67 more58 min
Nov 10, 12:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Chariton and 27 more5 hr
Nov 10, 3:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis60 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2006Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.