Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 809

October 3, 200633 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 3, 2006, 6:39 PM CDT for 33 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2006, 6:39 PM CDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired
Oct 4, 2006, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Door County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 3, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMenominee, Oconto61 min
Oct 3, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBDoor44 min
Oct 3, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXJackson, Trempealeau79 min
Oct 3, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarinette, Oconto25 min
Oct 3, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBDoor26 min
Oct 3, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBDoor20 min
Oct 3, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark, Jackson33 min
Oct 4, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2006-10-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2006-10-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-620 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
896 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 8:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dane, Dodge, Green, Jefferson, Kenosha and 7 more64 min
Oct 3, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarron, Bayfield, Burnett, Douglas, Polk, Rusk and 2 more7 hr
Oct 3, 2:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire, Jackson and 5 more93 min
Oct 3, 3:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBuffalo, Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, La Crosse, Pepin and 4 more8 hr
Oct 3, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Burnett, Langlade, Lincoln, Marathon, Menominee and 8 more84 min
Oct 3, 6:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire, Jackson and 6 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.