Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 130437
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1037 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC217-130500-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-060313T0500Z/
VERNON MO-
1037 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VERNON COUNTY
UNTIL 1100 PM CST...

AT 1032 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM RICH HILL TO 7 MILES WEST OF NEVADA...AND MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WALKER BY 1045 PM CST.
  NEAR SCHELL CITY BY 1050 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF HORTON...DEERFIELD AND HARWOOD ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF
THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3804 9463 3771 9460 3783 9409 3805 9405

$$

JLT

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 130448
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1048 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC217-130500-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-060313T0500Z/
VERNON MO-
1048 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VERNON COUNTY
UNTIL 1100 PM CST...

AT 1046 PM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY TO NEVADA...AND
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WALKER BY 1055 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF HORTON AND HARWOOD ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
AN INDOOR SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3804 9463 3771 9460 3783 9409 3805 9405

$$

JLT

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 130459
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1100 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC217-130510-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-060313T0500Z/
VERNON MO-
1100 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR VERNON COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 1059 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3804 9463 3771 9460 3783 9409 3805 9405

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

.UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI ARE
BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED IN TERMS OF ROTATION AND SEVERITY. LATEST
RUC INFORMATION CONTINUES TO SHOW AN OVERALL INCREASE OF 0-1KM
HELICITY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI SINCE 7 PM...WITH A SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN SHEAR AND TORNADIC PARAMETERS IN THE SAME AREAS. EXPECT
THE STORMS IN FAR WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO
CONTINUE THEIR INTENSITY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND MAY BECOME
TORNADIC IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. JLT

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AT 330 PM
VERY DEFINED CONVERGENT ZONE SEEN IN METAR OBSERVATIONS ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS. DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE IN THE 60S OVER
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. BEHIND THE DRY
LINE...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE TEENS. THIS WILL BE THE FOCUS OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR US THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE PUTS IT OVER SPRINGFIELD BY 01Z. 18Z SGF
SOUNDING SHOWING A LOADED GUN PROFILE...CAPE VALUES OF 2164
J/KG...WBZ AT 8850 FEET AND -5.8 LIS. GETTING REPORTS OF TORNADOS
AND LARGE HAIL FROM STORMS IN KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI AND THEY
ARE HEADED THIS WAY.

GFS MOVES THE 850MB LOW THROUGH NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI BY 12Z MONDAY.
AHEAD OF THE LOW...925MB WINDS UP TO 50KTS COVER THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STATE.  WE ARE GOING TO SEE SEVERE WEATHER PROGRESSING
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SPC FORECASTING SQUALL LINE DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT
AS WELL AND HAVE THE TORNADO WATCH OUT THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THAT EXTENDED.

ONCE THE LOW MOVES EAST...850MB TEMPS DROP FROM 14C TODAY TO -4C
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BECOME MORE SEASONAL MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 50S FOR HIGHS.

DID NOT MESS TOO MUCH WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. DID INTRODUCE CHANCE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES
THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI DURING THE DAY. OTHERWISE...JUST FOCUSED
ON THE SHORT TERM. GCC
&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS...DRY LINE STILL HANGING TOUGH OVER EASTERN KANSAS. LATEST
SOUNDING SHOWING THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION STARTING TO BREAK DOWN. SO
CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI SHORTLY. STILL
LOOKS LIKE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AS COLD
FRONT DOES NOT MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH UNTIL 12Z TOMORROW.

GCC

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-131500-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
625 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

 WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
 PRODUCING:

   HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.
   DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
   TORNADOES...A FEW POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG LIVED.
   LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

 AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH THE
  EVENING. THE HIGHEST THREAT AREA WILL BE WEST OF A LINE FROM
  JOPLIN TO NEVADA EARLY THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING. SPREADING
  EASTWARD OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM BRANSON TO OSAGE BEACH AROUND
  MIDNIGHT. THEN OVER SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI AROUND 3 AM.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG A WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN
  MISSOURI AND ALONG A DRY LINE SITUATED OVER EASTERN KANSAS.
  CURRENTLY...THE DRY LINE IS LOCATED IN EASTERN KANSAS FROM TOPEKA
  SOUTH TO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING ALONG
  THIS LINE AND THE LINE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT. SQUALL
  LINES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NIGHT AND THE ASSOCIATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS AND HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF PRODUCING SOME VIOLENT TORNADOES.

  THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PLEASE REVIEW
  SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA AND NOAA
  WEATHER RADIO FOR WATCHES AND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE THURSDAY FOR AN
  INCREASED THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EARLY EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GCC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1009 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MONETT                  36.92N 93.93W
03/12/2006                   BARRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON EAST SIDE OF MONETT AT 60 AND
            BUSINESS 60. SPOTTERS REPORT FUNNEL CLOUD IS GROWING IN
            SIZE

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1011 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     HUMANSVILLE             37.79N 93.58W
03/12/2006                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED OVER THE CITY OF HUMANSVILLE

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1012 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 PM     HAIL             HUMANSVILLE             37.79N 93.58W
03/12/2006  E1.00 INCH       POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1015 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1014 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E URBANA              37.84N 93.11W
03/12/2006                   DALLAS             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WALL CLOUD REPORTED NEAR HIGHWAYS D AND U.

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1018 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     HAIL             1 W CHESAPEAKE          37.12N 93.70W
03/12/2006  E1.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1021 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     TORNADO          NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
03/12/2006                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICER ESTIMATED 3 MILE LONG PATH OF
            DAMAGE. EYEWITNESSES STATED THE FUNNEL WAS 150 TO 200
            FEET WIDE. CONFIRMED DAMAGE TO AT LEAST ONE HOME AND ONE
            MOBILE HOME. SEARCH AND RESCUE IS CURRENTLY UNDERWAY.

&&

JAS