Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Springfield, MO

March 12, 2006Jasper County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 12, 2006, 9:46 PM CST for Jasper County, Missouri. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 12, 2006, 9:46 PM CST (03:46 UTC)
Expired: Mar 12, 2006, 10:30 PM CST
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jasper County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 12, 11:49 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	10 hr
Mar 12, 8:42 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1549 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1450 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.5
Supercell composite: 13.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 130346
SVRSGF
MOC097-130430-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0092.060313T0346Z-060313T0430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEAST JASPER COUNTY IN MISSOURI.

* UNTIL 1030 PM CST.

* AT 944 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  DIAMOND...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF CARTHAGE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  50 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR I-44 NEAR MILE MARKER 30 BY 955 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF FIDELITY...REEDS AND AVILLA ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING
FOR KANSAS AND MISSOURI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
1000 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING FOR MISSOURI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR MISSOURI. A TORNADO
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3705 9434 3705 9408 3727 9406

$$

IZZI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 12, 8:45 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 8:45 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

.UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI ARE
BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED IN TERMS OF ROTATION AND SEVERITY. LATEST
RUC INFORMATION CONTINUES TO SHOW AN OVERALL INCREASE OF 0-1KM
HELICITY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI SINCE 7 PM...WITH A SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN SHEAR AND TORNADIC PARAMETERS IN THE SAME AREAS. EXPECT
THE STORMS IN FAR WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO
CONTINUE THEIR INTENSITY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND MAY BECOME
TORNADIC IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. JLT

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AT 330 PM
VERY DEFINED CONVERGENT ZONE SEEN IN METAR OBSERVATIONS ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS. DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE IN THE 60S OVER
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. BEHIND THE DRY
LINE...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE TEENS. THIS WILL BE THE FOCUS OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR US THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE PUTS IT OVER SPRINGFIELD BY 01Z. 18Z SGF
SOUNDING SHOWING A LOADED GUN PROFILE...CAPE VALUES OF 2164
J/KG...WBZ AT 8850 FEET AND -5.8 LIS. GETTING REPORTS OF TORNADOS
AND LARGE HAIL FROM STORMS IN KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI AND THEY
ARE HEADED THIS WAY.

GFS MOVES THE 850MB LOW THROUGH NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI BY 12Z MONDAY.
AHEAD OF THE LOW...925MB WINDS UP TO 50KTS COVER THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STATE.  WE ARE GOING TO SEE SEVERE WEATHER PROGRESSING
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SPC FORECASTING SQUALL LINE DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT
AS WELL AND HAVE THE TORNADO WATCH OUT THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THAT EXTENDED.

ONCE THE LOW MOVES EAST...850MB TEMPS DROP FROM 14C TODAY TO -4C
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BECOME MORE SEASONAL MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 50S FOR HIGHS.

DID NOT MESS TOO MUCH WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. DID INTRODUCE CHANCE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES
THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI DURING THE DAY. OTHERWISE...JUST FOCUSED
ON THE SHORT TERM. GCC
&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS...DRY LINE STILL HANGING TOUGH OVER EASTERN KANSAS. LATEST
SOUNDING SHOWING THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION STARTING TO BREAK DOWN. SO
CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI SHORTLY. STILL
LOOKS LIKE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AS COLD
FRONT DOES NOT MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH UNTIL 12Z TOMORROW.

GCC

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 6:25 PM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-131500-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
625 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

 WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
 PRODUCING:

   HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.
   DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
   TORNADOES...A FEW POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG LIVED.
   LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

 AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH THE
  EVENING. THE HIGHEST THREAT AREA WILL BE WEST OF A LINE FROM
  JOPLIN TO NEVADA EARLY THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING. SPREADING
  EASTWARD OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM BRANSON TO OSAGE BEACH AROUND
  MIDNIGHT. THEN OVER SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI AROUND 3 AM.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG A WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN
  MISSOURI AND ALONG A DRY LINE SITUATED OVER EASTERN KANSAS.
  CURRENTLY...THE DRY LINE IS LOCATED IN EASTERN KANSAS FROM TOPEKA
  SOUTH TO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING ALONG
  THIS LINE AND THE LINE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT. SQUALL
  LINES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NIGHT AND THE ASSOCIATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS AND HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF PRODUCING SOME VIOLENT TORNADOES.

  THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PLEASE REVIEW
  SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA AND NOAA
  WEATHER RADIO FOR WATCHES AND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE THURSDAY FOR AN
  INCREASED THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EARLY EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GCC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:25 PM CST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
925 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             FRONTENAC               37.46N 94.69W
03/12/2006  E0.88 INCH       CRAWFORD           KS   PUBLIC

&&

JAS

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:28 PM CST, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
928 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 PM     TORNADO          FILLEY                  37.76N 93.95W
03/12/2006                   CEDAR              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO DAMAGE CONFIRMED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT IN THE FILLEY
            AREA. INJURIES AND MISSING PERSONS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

&&

JAS

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:33 PM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
933 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 N GOODMAN             36.77N 94.40W
03/12/2006                   NEWTON             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON HIGHWAYS 71 AND AA ON THE
            MCDONALD/NEWTON COUNTY LINE

&&

JAS

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:37 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
937 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     TORNADO          EL DORADO SPRINGS       37.88N 94.02W
03/12/2006                   CEDAR              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. HOUSE DESTROYED NEAR 151 AND 800
            ROAD. POWERPOLES ALSO REPORTED DOWN

&&

JAS

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:38 PM CST, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
938 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     KENOMA                  37.44N 94.20W
03/12/2006                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED OVER KENOMA AT T HIGHWAY AND 126

&&

JAS

Local storm report, Mar 12, 9:46 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 S PIERCE CITY         36.93N 94.00W
03/12/2006                   LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL AND WALL CLOUD REPORTED NEAR HIGHWAYS 97 AND 60
            JUST SOUTH OF PIERCE CITY

&&

JAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 12, 8:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Vernon	68 min
Mar 12, 8:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar	62 min
Mar 12, 8:48 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Cedar, Vernon	40 min
Mar 12, 8:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper	39 min
Mar 12, 8:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Barton	44 min
Mar 12, 9:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	55 min
Mar 12, 9:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	St. Clair	51 min
Mar 12, 9:20 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dade	37 min
Mar 12, 9:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Benton, Hickory	53 min
Mar 12, 9:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar	48 min
Mar 12, 9:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning Emergency	SGF	Cedar	34 min
Mar 12, 9:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Barry, Lawrence	54 min
Mar 12, 9:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Polk	30 min
Mar 12, 9:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Camden	63 min
Mar 12, 9:59 PM CST	Tornado Warning Emergency	SGF	Christian, Greene, Stone	65 min
Mar 12, 10:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Hickory	44 min
Mar 12, 10:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Morgan	66 min
Mar 12, 10:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry	63 min
Mar 12, 10:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Vernon	38 min
Mar 12, 10:30 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Miller	27 min
Mar 12, 10:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning Emergency	SGF	Barry, Stone	39 min
Mar 12, 10:39 PM CST	Tornado Warning Emergency	SGF	Webster	66 min
Mar 12, 10:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Benton	15 min
Mar 12, 10:46 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	St. Clair	29 min
Mar 12, 10:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Taney	67 min
Mar 12, 11:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Morgan	60 min
Mar 12, 11:07 PM CST	Tornado Warning Emergency	SGF	Wright	48 min
Mar 12, 11:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Newton	32 min
Mar 12, 11:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Miller	22 min
Mar 12, 11:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton	30 min
Mar 12, 11:25 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Ozark	65 min
Mar 12, 11:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Morgan	30 min
Mar 12, 11:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Laclede, Texas	40 min
Mar 12, 11:40 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Morgan	35 min
Mar 12, 11:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Lawrence	49 min
Mar 12, 11:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Polk	60 min
Mar 12, 11:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Pulaski	28 min
Mar 12, 11:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas	53 min
Mar 12, 11:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton	50 min
Mar 12, 11:59 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Hickory	28 min
Mar 13, 12:00 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	45 min
Mar 13, 12:04 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dallas	20 min
Mar 13, 12:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dent	38 min
Mar 13, 12:06 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Benton	20 min
Mar 13, 12:08 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Phelps	37 min
Mar 13, 12:11 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell	64 min
Mar 13, 12:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden	60 min
Mar 13, 12:16 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	74 min
Mar 13, 12:19 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Greene	49 min
Mar 13, 12:20 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Camden	29 min
Mar 13, 12:41 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Oregon, Shannon	64 min
Mar 13, 12:42 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Miller	28 min
Mar 13, 12:46 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Webster	39 min
Mar 13, 12:52 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Maries	42 min
Mar 13, 1:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Wright	53 min
Mar 13, 1:59 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	46 min
Mar 13, 2:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent	39 min
Mar 13, 2:09 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Ozark	39 min
Mar 13, 2:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	34 min
Mar 13, 3:00 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell	45 min
Mar 13, 3:25 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.