Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
301 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2006

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
FRONT EAST OF AREA WILL RETROGRESS WESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AS A WARM FRONT...HERALDING THE BEGINNING OF A WET PERIOD.
TROPICAL REMNANTS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT EARLY THIS
WEEK...BRINGING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING ON AN AXIS THROUGH PA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. SITUATION
BEARS WATCHING FOR POTENTIAL FLOOD WATCH.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH A THREAT OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DAILY.

&&

.AVIATION...
TIGHT GRADIENT OF CLOUDS THIS EARLY MORNING. CLEAR SKIES TO SCT-BKN
CIRRUS OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA WHILE
MIDDECK COVERS THE SOUTH AND EAST. GENERAL TREND THROUGH THE DAY
WILL BE FOR LOWER CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. MAY SEE SOME VIS DROP TO MVFR
RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH PATCHY FOG AND THEN ONCE AGAIN LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS RAIN SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. AREAS OF
HEAVIER SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN REACHES
OF THE AREA AND THEN MOVE NORTHWARD DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO WIDESPREAD
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1146 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2006

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-
020>023-029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-261600-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-
VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-
ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-GREENE-
FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-
PRESTON-TUCKER-
1146 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MARYLAND...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR MUCH
OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND. HEAVY RAINS WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE WATCH AREA AND COULD REACH 3 INCHES BY TUESDAY
MORNING WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 5 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
MUCH OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS IN EFFECT. SPOTTERS PLEASE CALL IN EVERY
INCH OF NEW RAINFALL.