Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Nashville, TN

May 21, 2006Hickman County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2006, 8:48 AM CDT for Hickman County, Tennessee. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2006, 8:48 AM CDT (13:48 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2006, 9:15 AM CDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hickman County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1052 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 211349
SVROHX
TNC081-211415-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0211.060521T1348Z-060521T1415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
848 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 915 AM CDT

* AT 846 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTH
  CENTRAL HICKMAN COUNTY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF DICKSON...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT RURAL NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN     
  COUNTY, INCLUDING BON AQUA AND LYLES.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3598 8749 3599 8739 3596 8722 3593 8720
      3592 8722 3584 8722 3581 8723 3590 8753
      3600 8750

$$
ROSE

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 211357
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
857 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

TNC081-211415-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-060521T1415Z/
HICKMAN TN-
857 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN COUNTY...

AT 850 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL HICKMAN 
COUNTY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF DICKSON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 65 
MPH.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD 
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A 
SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3598 8749 3599 8739 3596 8722 3593 8720
      3592 8722 3584 8722 3581 8723 3590 8753
      3600 8750

$$

07

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 211404 CCA
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION TO MOVEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
903 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

TNC081-211415-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-060521T1415Z/
HICKMAN TN-
903 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN COUNTY...

AT 854 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL HICKMAN 
COUNTY...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DICKSON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD 
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A 
SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3598 8749 3599 8739 3596 8722 3593 8720
      3592 8722 3584 8722 3581 8723 3590 8753
      3600 8750

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 3:39 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 3:39 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
339 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

.SHORT TERM...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS STATIONARY FRONT IN S MID TN...WITH A COLD
FRONT ON APPROACH INTO THE OH VLY. SOUTHERN FRONT FOCUS OF MCS
TRACK...WITH LATEST DEVELOPMENT IN SW MO. 00Z MODELS SHOW HIGH
MOISTURE AND DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MOST OF THE MID STATE. SFC COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...DRIVEN BY
SFC HIGH IN THE MIDWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAV TEMPS
TOO HIGH...POPS TOO LOW.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTH MID TN TONIGHT...
OR FURTHER SOUTH. 850/500-MB MOISTURE RIDES N OF THE FRONT...WITH
SOME ELEVATED TSTMS POSSIBLE. DEEPER COOLING/MORE STABLE CONDITIONS
ON MON. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL.

MON NIGHT-TUE NIGHT DRY...WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO. COULD BE RTN FLOW
WED NIGHT. PROGRESSIVE UPR TROUGH DRIVES A WARM FRONT THROUGH MID TN
THU...WITH CHC TSRA ADVERTISED. UPR RIDGE FOLLOWS AND WILL LIMIT POPS
20-30 PERCENT...AS PER MEXMOS. MEX WARM TEMPS LOOK GOOD IN THE
EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    80  61  75  54 /  60  50  20  10
CLARKSVILLE  79  60  73  51 /  60  50  20  10
CROSSVILLE   77  54  68  49 /  50  40  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

04

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 5:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-221030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER SOUTH AND
WEST PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING SOUTHEAST WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS...WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL POSSIBLY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
MIDSTATE ON MONDAY...AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
CONSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER DURING THESE
PERIODS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

BECAUSE OF THE ISOLATED NATURE OF SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTER AND
EMERGENCY MANAGER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY.

GIRODO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 20, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis	32 min
May 20, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles, Lawrence	26 min
May 20, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford, Marshall	34 min
May 20, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Grundy	25 min
May 20, 10:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Perry, Wayne	35 min
May 20, 10:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence, Wayne	37 min
May 20, 11:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence	37 min
May 21, 1:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Grundy	26 min
May 21, 2:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman	17 min
May 21, 8:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Benton	18 min
May 21, 8:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Williamson	25 min
May 21, 8:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Humphreys	23 min
May 21, 8:53 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford	22 min
May 21, 8:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Williamson	20 min
May 21, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Wayne	37 min
May 21, 4:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles	36 min
May 21, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis, Perry	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.