Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Nashville, TN

May 21, 2006Humphreys County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2006, 8:22 AM CDT for Humphreys County, Tennessee. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2006, 8:22 AM CDT (13:22 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2006, 8:45 AM CDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Humphreys County, TN

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1052 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 211322
SVROHX
TNC085-211345-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0210.060521T1322Z-060521T1345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
822 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WAVERLY

* UNTIL 845 AM CDT

* AT 819 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF
  WAVERLY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAMDEN...AND MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WAVERLY BY 830 AM CDT

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3608 8757 3606 8755 3604 8757 3600 8753
      3597 8755 3591 8772 3605 8799 3614 8790
      3622 8794 3622 8794

$$
ROSE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 3:39 AM CDT, 4 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 3:39 AM CDT, 4 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
339 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

.SHORT TERM...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS STATIONARY FRONT IN S MID TN...WITH A COLD
FRONT ON APPROACH INTO THE OH VLY. SOUTHERN FRONT FOCUS OF MCS
TRACK...WITH LATEST DEVELOPMENT IN SW MO. 00Z MODELS SHOW HIGH
MOISTURE AND DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MOST OF THE MID STATE. SFC COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...DRIVEN BY
SFC HIGH IN THE MIDWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAV TEMPS
TOO HIGH...POPS TOO LOW.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTH MID TN TONIGHT...
OR FURTHER SOUTH. 850/500-MB MOISTURE RIDES N OF THE FRONT...WITH
SOME ELEVATED TSTMS POSSIBLE. DEEPER COOLING/MORE STABLE CONDITIONS
ON MON. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL.

MON NIGHT-TUE NIGHT DRY...WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO. COULD BE RTN FLOW
WED NIGHT. PROGRESSIVE UPR TROUGH DRIVES A WARM FRONT THROUGH MID TN
THU...WITH CHC TSRA ADVERTISED. UPR RIDGE FOLLOWS AND WILL LIMIT POPS
20-30 PERCENT...AS PER MEXMOS. MEX WARM TEMPS LOOK GOOD IN THE
EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    80  61  75  54 /  60  50  20  10
CLARKSVILLE  79  60  73  51 /  60  50  20  10
CROSSVILLE   77  54  68  49 /  50  40  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

04

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 5:30 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-221030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER SOUTH AND
WEST PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING SOUTHEAST WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS...WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL POSSIBLY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
MIDSTATE ON MONDAY...AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
CONSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER DURING THESE
PERIODS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

BECAUSE OF THE ISOLATED NATURE OF SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTER AND
EMERGENCY MANAGER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY.

GIRODO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 20, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis	32 min
May 20, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles, Lawrence	26 min
May 20, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford, Marshall	34 min
May 20, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Grundy	25 min
May 20, 10:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Perry, Wayne	35 min
May 20, 10:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence, Wayne	37 min
May 20, 11:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence	37 min
May 21, 1:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Grundy	26 min
May 21, 2:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman	17 min
May 21, 8:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Benton	18 min
May 21, 8:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Williamson	25 min
May 21, 8:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman	27 min
May 21, 8:53 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford	22 min
May 21, 8:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Williamson	20 min
May 21, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Wayne	37 min
May 21, 4:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles	36 min
May 21, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis, Perry	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.