Storm Warning 242, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 180055 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

CORRECTED ZONES 130 132 AND 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 953 MB LOW 290 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND WEAKEN TO 963 MB MON MORNING THEN WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR
WHITTIER MON AFTERNOON. A 941 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 460 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NW 20 KT SW OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE GFS AND EUROPEAN MODEL ARE MORE IN SYNC THIS MORNING WITH THE
NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA ON TODAY. THE GFS ALSO
INITIALIZED A LITTLE BETTER WITH THE POSITIONING OF THE CURRENT LOW
MOVING UP TO THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER WESTERN CANADA THIS MORNING.
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WILL EXTEND EAST INTO WESTERN
ALASKA TODAY AND MONDAY PROVIDING A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF
MAINLAND ALASKA INTO MONDAY. THE 300 MB JET WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS AND GULF OF ALASKA FEEDING INTO THE PANHANDLE.

AT THE SURFACE THE STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
HAS MOVED NEAR THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND SHOULD MOVE ONSHORE
THIS MORNING AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST. SNOW WILL CONTINUE
TO FALL OVER THE SOUTHERN KENAI AND COASTAL AREAS AND CHANCE TO
SHOWERS AS THE PUSHES INLAND AND WEAKENS BY THIS AFTERNOON.  THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL SHOULD ALSO SEE SOME SNOW LATER THIS MORNING AS THE
NEARS.

THE NEXT STORM FORMING OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL BE A MUCH STRONGER
WITH PRESSURES DOWN NEAR 960 MB OR LOWER.  THE MAIN PROBLEM IS THE
TRACK OF THIS STORM.  RIGHT NOW WE ARE LEANING TOWARD THE GFS WHICH
BRINGS IT INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY 12Z MONDAY.

A MODERATE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE BERING THROUGH MONDAY.
SHOWERS WILL WILL PERSIST OVER MOST OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120
         GALE  125 130 132 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1114 AM AST SUN DEC 17 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HOMER                   59.64N 151.52W
12/17/2006  E8.0 INCH                           AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE HOMER POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT AROUND 8 INCHES
            OF SNOW HAS FALLEN ON THE HOMER BLUFF...AND AROUND 6
            INCHES OF SNOW HAS FALLEN IN TOWN.

1104 AM     HEAVY SNOW       SELDOVIA                59.44N 151.71W
12/17/2006  M14.0 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER IN SELDOVIA REPORTED 14 INCHES OF NEW
            SNOW FELL SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.

1104 AM     SNOW             SOLDOTNA                60.49N 151.06W
12/17/2006  M2.0 INCH                           AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STATE TROOPERS IN SOLDOTNA REPORTED 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW
            SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.

1104 AM     SNOW             KENAI                   60.55N 151.21W
12/17/2006  M3.5 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER IN KENAI REPORTED 3.5 INCHES OF NEW
            SNOW OVERNIGHT.

1104 AM     SNOW             KASILOF                 60.33N 151.23W
12/17/2006  M3.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER IN KASILOF REPORTED 3 INCHES OF NEW
            SNOW STARTING YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND ENDING DURING THE
            OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

MCKIM