Storm Warning 122, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 090010
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 200 NM EAST OF
SAINT PAUL ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AS 996 MB. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
PASS THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.  
$$

PKZ120-091400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E WIND 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-091400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-091400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT...GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-091400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-091400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-091400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-091400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-091400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-091400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 8 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT WED JUN 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST CONTINUES BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE INTERIOR THROUGH FRIDAY. THE TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST
HAS MERGED WITH CUTOFF LOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL
ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

MODELS INITIALIZED PRETTY GOOD THIS MORNING AND ARE FINALLY AGREEING
ON LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE TIMING WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE PREFERRED MODEL
CONTINUES TO BE THE GFS.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL MOVING AROUND THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS IN
THE SOUHCENTRAL COASTAL AREAS. AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHEAST THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME MORE WIDE SPREAD BY THURSDAY.
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER KODIAK TONIGHT AS THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA PUSHES NORTH AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY.  EXPECT GALE FORCE
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN MOST AREAS AS FRONT PROGRESSES INTO THE
GULF THURSDAY. CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS AROUND THE REGION ESPECIALLY IN
CHANNELED TERRAIN AND IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND MATANUSKA VALLEY
THIS EVENING ALONG WITH RELATIVELY LOW HUMIDITY ARE KEEPING THE THESE
AREAS IN RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS EVENING.  FIRE DANGER SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HUMIDITY SLOWLY RISES WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND WINDS DECREASE. THE COLD FRONT ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST IS MOVING SOUTH TOWARD BRISTOL BAY AND SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD OVER
THE WESTERN BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...130..132..138..150..160
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 111...141

JUN 06