Small Craft Advisory 513, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT WED JUN 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST CONTINUES BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE INTERIOR THROUGH FRIDAY. THE TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST
HAS MERGED WITH CUTOFF LOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL
ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

MODELS INITIALIZED PRETTY GOOD THIS MORNING AND ARE FINALLY AGREEING
ON LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE TIMING WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE PREFERRED MODEL
CONTINUES TO BE THE GFS.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL MOVING AROUND THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS IN
THE SOUHCENTRAL COASTAL AREAS. AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHEAST THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME MORE WIDE SPREAD BY THURSDAY.
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER KODIAK TONIGHT AS THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA PUSHES NORTH AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY.  EXPECT GALE FORCE
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN MOST AREAS AS FRONT PROGRESSES INTO THE
GULF THURSDAY. CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS AROUND THE REGION ESPECIALLY IN
CHANNELED TERRAIN AND IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND MATANUSKA VALLEY
THIS EVENING ALONG WITH RELATIVELY LOW HUMIDITY ARE KEEPING THE THESE
AREAS IN RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS EVENING.  FIRE DANGER SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HUMIDITY SLOWLY RISES WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND WINDS DECREASE. THE COLD FRONT ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST IS MOVING SOUTH TOWARD BRISTOL BAY AND SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD OVER
THE WESTERN BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...130..132..138..150..160
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 111...141

JUN 06