Gale Warning 646, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 080834 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1235 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

UPDATED ZONES 125 AND 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK 1007 MB LOW NEAR 58N 146W WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. A 970
MB LOW IN THE BERING WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AND MOVE TO 85 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-081400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT EAST OF CAPE CLEARE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRIDAY NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-081400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1235 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK 
ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-081400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-081400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1235 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-081400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-081400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-081400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 081154
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL MOVE TO 145 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK SAT NIGHT AT 988 MB.
$$

PKZ120-090200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-090200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-090200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-090200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-090200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-090200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-090200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-090200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-090200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 8 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT THU SEP 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...
FIRST MAJOR STORM OF THE SEASON IS RIPPING ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THIS MORNING. THIS LOW CONTAINS THE EXTRA-TROPICAL REMAINS OF FORMER
SUPER TYPHOON IOKE (PRONOUNCED EE-OH-KEH...EMPHASIS ON THE MIDDLE
SYLLABLE. IOKE IS THE HAWAIIAN WORD FOR JOYCE). WINDS AS HIGH AS 70
KT HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM SO FAR. THE LOW CENTER WILL
CROSS SAINT PAUL AROUND MIDDAY AND BE JUST ABOUT TO CAPE NEWENHAM
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS POINT IT WILL BEGIN TO FILL. THE LOW
WILL THEN DIVE SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN GULF DURING THE WEEKEND WHERE
IT WILL REMAIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE MODELS DISAGREE TO WHAT HAPPENS NEXT...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC AND
ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY THAT ANOTHER LOW WILL RIDE THE NORTHERLY JET
SOUTHWARD FROM SIBERIA...ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...AND
THEN INTO THE WESTERN GULF ON MONDAY. THIS WILL DRAW MUCH OF THE
ENERGY FROM THE FORMER TYPHOON/GULF LOW. SOME TROFFINESS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA INTO MID WEEK...BUT THE DETAILS ARE
SKETCHY ON THIS AS THE MODELS CONTINUE THEIR TRANSITION SEASON
STRUGGLES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 187 191.
         COASTAL FLOOD WARNING 155 161.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 170 171 172 175 176 179 185.
         GALE WARNING 150 155 160 165 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG SEP 06