Gale Warning 293, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 230254 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
555 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

UPDATE TO AREA 130 

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1001 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE SOUTH AND
DISSIPATE THU. A 994 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA
FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
555 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR CHANNELED TERRAIN. SEAS 9
FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 3 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 231301
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDLETON
ISLAND THROUGH SAT. A 986 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP OFF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS EARLY FRI AND WILL PERSIST THERE INTO SAT. 
$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT E OF CAPE
HINCHINBROOK AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 23 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST WED MAR 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...TODAYS WEATHER MAP IS RATHER UNEVENTFUL OVER SOUTHERN
ALASKA. A WEAKENING FRONT IN THE BERING SEA WILL GIVE WAY TO A
DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY TO
AROUND 997 MB THURSDAY AFTERNOON NEAR AMCHITKA AND THEN WEAKEN AGAIN
AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA FRIDAY.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL PERSISTS INTO
THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL WEAKEN DURING THIS TIME BUT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND KEEP ANY SYSTEMS FROM ENCROACHING INTO SOUTHWESTERN
ALASKA. FOG AND STRATUS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT BUT WILL BURN OFF
DURING THE DAYTIME AS THE SUN IS NOW PAST THE SPRING EQUINOX AND HAS
SOME ACTUAL HEAT COMING OFF OF IT THESE DAYS

THE LOW THAT WAS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA YESTERDAY HAS HEADED FAR TO
THE SOUTH NEAR 45N. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW STILL EXTENDS
NORTHWARD IN TO THE GULF WHERE A WEAK LOW HAS DEVELOPED IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF TODAY. THE SIGNIFICANT FEATURE ON THESE LOWS IS THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE ALASKA PANHANDLE
AND WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA OVERNIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING SOME PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH
IT. PRECIPITATION MOST LIKELY WILL NOT MAKE IT THROUGH TO THE INLAND
SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT THAT IS STILL A POSSIBILITY AT THIS TIME.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. ETA GFS WRF UKMET AND ECMWF ARE ALL IN
THE SAME BALLPARK WITH FEATURES. SMALL DIFFERENCES IN THE DEPTH AND
PLACEMENT WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA BUT THE
SOLUTIONS LOOK RATHER SOLID FOR THE MOST PART.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 172.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

MAR 06