Brisk Wind Advisory 18, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

.DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH A REASONABLE
FORECAST SOLUTION FOR THE EASTERN DOMAIN AND HAVE COME INTO A SIMILAR
AGREEMENT OVER THE BERING SEA. GFS WAS THE PERFERRED MODEL OUT WEST.

IN THE EAST THE LOW CENTER WHICH BROUGHT SNOW TO  SOUTHCENTRAL AND
THE NORTH GULF SUNDAY HAS NOW MOVED SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MOST OF THE SNOW HAS ENDED WITH SOME RISIDUAL
SHOWERS REMAINING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
THIS MORNING. EXPECT CENTER TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA
TONIGHT.  STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE
INTO THIS MORNING. A STRONG NORTH TO SOUTH DEVELOPING PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS TODAY AND TUESDAY.

OUT WEST THE RIDGE IS HOLDING OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THIS
MORNING AND WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST
COAST TUESDAY MORNING. SERIES OF INTENSE LOWS WILL MOVE NEAR THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND SPREAD ALTERNATE PERIODS OF STRONG SOUTHEAST
WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH
SPREADS STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOFS BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 191
MARINE...STORMS 172 175 176.
         GALES 121 130 132 150 170 171 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

*** JAN 06