Severe Thunderstorm Warning 217, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 192114
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
413 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSC177-192123-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0217.000000T0000Z-050819T2145Z/
SHAWNEE-
413 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHAWNEE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3921 9518 3898 9521 3905 9552 3919 9553

$$

KSC045-087-192145-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0217.000000T0000Z-050819T2145Z/
JEFFERSON-DOUGLAS-
413 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 410 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF LECOMPTON...OR ABOUT 8 MILES EAST OF
TOPEKA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PERRY LAKE...LECOMPTON...PERRY...WILLIAMSTOWN AND MCLOUTH.

AT 405 PM...4 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS WERE DOWNED IN EAST TOPEKA.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 203 AND 204.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3921 9518 3898 9521 3905 9552 3919 9553

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 192131
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
431 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSC045-087-192141-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0217.000000T0000Z-050819T2145Z/
JEFFERSON-DOUGLAS-
431 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 431 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3921 9518 3898 9521 3905 9552 3919 9553

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PROFILERS SHOW A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. SCATTERED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND MOVED NORTH. STORMS OVER
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS HAVE BEEN FIRING AHEAD OF MESO LOW AND WESTERN
KANSAS SHORTWAVE.

DEW POINTS REMAIN HIGH IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES IN THE 180 TO 200 PERCENT RANGE. WATER VAPOR SHOWS A TROPICAL
CONNECTION FROM MEXICO INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA.
AIRMASS HAS CONTINUED TO DESTABILIZE WITH CAPES IN THE 3500 J/KG
RANGE. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO FIRE ALONG BOUNDARY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAVE INCREASED POPS ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE
KANSAS TURNPIKE. 300 MB JET SETS UP TONIGHT WITH NORTHEAST KANSAS IN
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW ACROSS
NORTHEAST KANSAS AHEAD OF EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MENTION
HEAVY RAIN IN ZONES.

HAVE GONE WITH FRONT MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. HAVE CONTINUED TO ORIENT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ALONG
AND SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
HAVE DROPPED POPS NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS BACK IN ADVANCE
OF A SECONDARY FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS NEBRASKA INITIAL FRONT
STALLED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS. WILL MAINTAIN POPS IN SOUTHEAST BUT
DRY IN THE NORTH AS FORCING WITH THE BOUNDARY TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
CWA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...FRONTOGENTIC FORCING AHEAD OF ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM NEBRASKA WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO
THE CWA DURING THE EVENING PROVIDING ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION...WHICH WILL BE ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE
CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL LINGER
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA SUNDAY AS BETTER DRYING BACKDOORS INTO
THE CWA FROM THE NORTHEAST LATER IN THE DAY AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY AS UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES IN THE EASTERN U.S. THIS
WILL ALLOW DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR TO SETTLE INTO EASTERN KANSAS.
ALTHOUGH RETURN FLOW DOES SET UP...IT APPEARS TO AGGRESSIVE ON THE
GFS AND PREFERRED THE SLOWER ECMWF VERSION WHICH WOULD BRING
MOISTURE AND PRECIP CHANCES IN MORE TOWARDS THE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY TIMEFRAME...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA. WILL ONLY
VERY SLOWLY EDGE HIGHS FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ON MONDAY INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND NEAR 90 ON THURSDAY.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR
ALL OF NORTHCENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL COUNTIES UNTIL 10
PM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
354 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-201000-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION
CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
354 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS
THE MAIN HAZARDS. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...STREETS
AND UNDERPASSES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY...ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ON SUNDAY. THERE US A CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
319 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-200300-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
319 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 736 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
1000 PM CDT AND INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

REPUBLIC              WASHINGTON            NEMAHA
MARSHALL              BROWN                 CLOUD
JACKSON               CLAY                  RILEY
POTTAWATOMIE          JEFFERSON             OTTAWA
GEARY                 SHAWNEE               WABAUNSEE
DICKINSON             DOUGLAS               MORRIS
OSAGE                 LYON                  FRANKLIN
COFFEY                ANDERSON

SOME CITIES IN THE WATCH ARE...

EMPORIA               OTTAWA                ABILENE
LAWRENCE              JUNCTION CITY         TOPEKA
MANHATTAN             CLAY CENTER           CONCORDIA
MARYSVILLE            HIAWATHA

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
329 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     HAIL             5 SE MERIDEN            39.14N 95.50W
08/19/2005  1.00 INCH        JEFFERSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AT PERRY LAKE MARINA...REPORTED BY JEFFERSON COUNTY
            SHERIFF.

&&

STRASSBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
344 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             5 SW MCLOUTH            39.14N 95.27W
08/19/2005  0.88 INCH        JEFFERSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY JEFFERSON COUNTY SHERIFF.

&&

STRASSBERG