Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 191209
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
708 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSC059-191345-
FRANKLIN-
708 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL 
FRANKLIN COUNTY...

AT 708 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES HAD FALLEN FROM 5 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF PRINCETON TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF RANTOUL SINCE EARLY 
THIS MORNING. A FEW MORE THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE OVER THIS SAME AREA 
THROUGH 830 AM AND BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL 
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. MIDDLE CREEK WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
VULNERABLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PRINCETON AND RANTOUL.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3843 9545 3841 9530 3852 9507 3864 9506

$$

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 191346
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
846 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSC059-191354-
FRANKLIN-
846 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY EXPIRED AT
845 AM CDT...

THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT 
OF THE AREA. NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED. 

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3843 9545 3841 9530 3852 9507 3864 9506

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
314 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...CONVECTION THAT FIRED ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
NORTHERN COUNTIES TONIGHT HAVE PUSHED EASTWARD...SAVE A FEW CELLS
STILL DEVELOPING IN FRANKLIN AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES AND POINTS SOUTH
AS OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO PROGRESS SOUTH INTO THOSE AREAS. WILL KEEP
SOME EARLY COVERAGE IN THE GRIDS FOR THIS...BUT BOUNDARY IS
SHALLOW AND EXPECT STORMS TO DIMINISH IN THESE AREAS BY EARLY TO
MID MORNING.

DIFFICULT DAY AHEAD. FIRST CONCERN WILL BE THE HEAT. MAX TEMPS
SHOULD END UP IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA...BRINGING AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES INTO THE 102-105 RANGE AT
PEAK HEATING...JUST SHY OF WIDESPREAD ADVISORY CRITERIA.

SECOND CONCERN IS THUNDERSTORMS. POSITION OF FRONT STILL ACROSS
NORTHERN COUNTIES...WITH NO REAL PUSH TO MOVE IT OUT. STRONG
DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD DESTABILIZE ATMOSPHERE BACK INTO THE
2-4J/KG CAPE RANGE...WITH BULK SHEAR ABOUT 20-35KTS INCREASING
NORTH. WOULD EXPECT MOISTURE /NEAR 2 INCHES PW PER NAM/ AND
INSTABILITY TO AGAIN POOL ALONG THE FRONT AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP. GFS HAVING FEEDBACK TROUBLE...BUT SUGGESTS THIS
GENERAL SCENARIO. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. DIFFICULT TO
SAY ALSO WHERE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL RESIDE...BUT AT THIS TIME
AM THINKING THEY WILL MIX OUT. MODELS GIVING LOTS OF SHORTWAVE
RIPPLES IN THE FLOW. WILL KEEP ISOLD TO SCT AFTERNOON POPS...WITH
THE HIGHER POPS NORTH NEAR THE FRONT. STILL WAITING FOR MAIN
FRONTAL PUSH IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND WILL KEEP SCT TO LIKELY
POPS ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ETA/NAM HAS SLOWED THE FRONT
SOMEWHAT...SO PRECIP MAY NEED TO BE SHIFTED MORE HEAVILY INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...BUT ISNT A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE GRIDS
AND WILL LEAVE AS IS FOR NOW. EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO BE MAINLY
FRI LATER AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT AS MENTIONED ABOVE MAY
CONTINUE AFTER MIDNIGHT IF MAIN FRONT SLOWS. HAIL AND WIND WOULD
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LOOK TO BE WELCOME RELIEF TEMP WISE...AS
PRECIPITATION MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY EVENING. HIGHS
IN THE 80S...SLIGHTLY COOLER SUNDAY THAN SATURDAY AS COLDER AIR
SHIFTS FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST SUNDAY.

NO ADJUSTMENTS BEYOND SUNDAY.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

KC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
428 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-201000-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
428 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY...GENERALLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 90S. THIS WILL BRING AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES INTO THE
103 TO 105 RANGE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS SHOULD END AROUND
MID MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR MAINLY OVER FRANKLIN...
ANDERSON...AND EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES. THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE BUT WILL BRING BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE AREA....AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONT PUSHES
SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...
MAINLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY...COMING TO AN END BY SATURDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)