Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2005

Tornado Watch 866

November 15, 200547 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Indiana; 11 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 15, 2005, 10:13 AM CST for 47 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Indiana; 11 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2005, 10:13 AM CST (16:13 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2005, 5:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 80 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Clay County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warrick County, IN, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 11:49 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXIron, Washington41 min
Nov 15, 12:26 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHFranklin94 min
Nov 15, 12:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHHamilton, Saline2 hr
Nov 15, 12:44 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline46 min
Nov 15, 12:54 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph28 min
Nov 15, 12:56 PM CSTTornado WarningILXRichland34 min
Nov 15, 1:07 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne, White53 min
Nov 15, 1:16 PM CSTTornado WarningILXCrawford, Lawrence44 min
Nov 15, 1:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Saint Clair, Washington56 min
Nov 15, 1:26 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHHamilton21 min
Nov 15, 1:31 PM CSTTornado WarningINDKnox, Sullivan44 min
Nov 15, 1:39 PM CSTTornado WarningILXLawrence44 min
Nov 15, 1:40 PM CSTTornado WarningINDKnox50 min
Nov 15, 1:40 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHGibson, Posey65 min
Nov 15, 1:41 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash94 min
Nov 15, 1:46 PM CSTTornado WarningINDClay, Parke, Putnam, Vigo29 min
Nov 15, 1:55 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHWabash35 min
Nov 15, 2:10 PM CSTTornado WarningINDClay, Owen, Putnam, Vigo35 min
Nov 15, 2:10 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHPike35 min
Nov 15, 2:23 PM CSTTornado WarningINDDaviess, Knox43 min
Nov 15, 2:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClay40 min
Nov 15, 2:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion25 min
Nov 15, 2:35 PM CSTTornado WarningINDGreene25 min
Nov 15, 2:48 PM CSTTornado WarningINDDaviess, Greene, Martin27 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Jefferson26 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHPosey, Vanderburgh56 min
Nov 15, 2:57 PM CSTTornado WarningINDMonroe, Owen40 min
Nov 15, 3:06 PM CSTTornado WarningINDLawrence, Monroe24 min
Nov 15, 3:24 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHHamilton36 min
Nov 15, 3:24 PM CSTTornado WarningINDMonroe, Morgan31 min
Nov 15, 3:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Crawford, Jasper46 min
Nov 15, 3:29 PM CSTTornado WarningINDBrown, Jackson, Lawrence, Monroe31 min
Nov 15, 3:36 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHGallatin, Saline, White84 min
Nov 15, 3:37 PM CSTTornado WarningILXClark, Crawford, Jasper23 min
Nov 15, 3:49 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash26 min
Nov 15, 3:49 PM CSTTornado WarningINDVigo26 min
Nov 15, 3:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWhite49 min
Nov 15, 4:05 PM CSTTornado WarningILXLawrence28 min
Nov 15, 4:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Vigo29 min
Nov 15, 4:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGibson48 min
Nov 15, 4:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPosey, Vanderburgh41 min
Nov 15, 4:43 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHVanderburgh32 min
Nov 15, 4:53 PM CSTTornado WarningLMKPerry29 min
Nov 15, 4:57 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHWarrick48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2005-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2005-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 151611
SEL6  
SPC WW 151611
ILZ000-INZ000-MOZ000-152300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 866
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       WESTERN INDIANA
       EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1010 AM UNTIL
500 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST OF SAINT LOUIS
MISSOURI TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLOOMINGTON INDIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 864...WW 865...

DISCUSSION...DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHWEST MO IS FORECAST TO
TRACK RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY INTO IL.  AIR MASS AHEAD OF LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE RAPIDLY...WITH WARM/MOIST AND UNSTABLE
SURFACE AIR SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES.  DAMAGING WINDS ALSO APPEAR TO BE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HART

401,0912 402,0862 373,0862 371,0912

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 8:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 8 more3 hr
Nov 14, 10:00 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 8 more7 hr
Nov 15, 2:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 4 more113 min
Nov 15, 7:42 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Massac and 5 more9 hr
Nov 15, 8:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 34 more59 min
Nov 15, 10:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland and 29 more2 hr
Nov 15, 12:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 47 more116 min
Nov 15, 1:32 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland, Edgar and 25 more88 min
Nov 15, 11:55 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Clark, Dearborn and 30 more2 hr
Nov 15, 2:01 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 61 more7 hr
Nov 15, 3:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Marshall, Noble and 2 more95 min
Nov 15, 5:06 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCarter, Greenup, Lewis, Mason6 hr
Nov 15, 5:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Bullitt and 30 more92 min
Nov 14, 9:28 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, McDonald, Newton and 5 more8 hr
Nov 14, 11:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 12 more97 min
Nov 15, 2:57 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Cass, Cedar, Dade, Henry and 3 more63 min
Nov 15, 6:04 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 27 more116 min
Nov 15, 7:02 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Christian, Dent, Douglas, Greene, Howell and 11 more8 hr
Nov 15, 7:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt, Nodaway4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2005Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2005Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2005Every tornado watch in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.