Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 2003

August 16, 200521 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 16, 2005, 11:35 PM CDT for 21 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 55 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2005, 11:35 PM CDT (04:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2005, 12:30 AM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 21 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Foster County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2005-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 700 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2005-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
700 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1373 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 170436
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170435 
NDZ000-170530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 726...

VALID 170435Z - 170530Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 726 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...BUT
TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED OVERNIGHT FOR POSSIBILITY OF
INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.

A COUPLE OF STRONG CELLS PERSIST WITHIN CONVECTIVE CLUSTER
DEVELOPING EASTWARD WITH UPPER FORCING ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. 
HOWEVER...LACK OF BETTER ORGANIZATION SUGGESTS SHORT TERM SEVERE
THREAT MAY BE LIMITED TO ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.  LOW-LEVEL
JET HAS BEEN SLOW TO STRENGTHEN...BUT AS IT DOES...POTENTIAL STILL
EXISTS FOR EVOLUTION OF A STRONGER...MORE ORGANIZED MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NORTH/NORTHEAST OF BISMARCK INTO THE DEVILS LAKE
AREA THROUGH 06-09Z.  DEEPER INTO NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...COOL/DRY BOUNDARY LAYER MAY MINIMIZE DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL.

..KERR.. 08/17/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

48250259 48530110 48519885 47669759 46919762 46709831
46889991 46990070 47050184 47360271

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 7:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBillings, Golden Valley94 min
Aug 16, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Billings, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Divide and 22 more2 hr
Aug 17, 1:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 14 more87 min
Aug 17, 1:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Kidder and 10 more8 hr
Aug 17, 5:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Griggs, Kidder and 10 more117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.