Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 2000

August 16, 2005Wibaux County, Montana; Billings County, Golden Valley County, North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 16, 2005, 6:26 PM MDT for Wibaux County, Montana; Billings County, Golden Valley County, North Dakota. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2005, 6:26 PM MDT (00:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2005, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Wibaux County, MT, Billings County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2005-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 700 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2005-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
700 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1373 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 170026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170026 
NDZ000-MTZ000-170200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2000
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MT...WRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 726...

VALID 170026Z - 170200Z

SEVERE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA...VICINITY OF GLASGOW INTO AREAS
WEST OF GLENDIVE.  THIS IS IN MOIST EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW/WARM
ADVECTION REGIME...ALONG WARM FRONT EAST OF DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW...WHERE CAPE NOW RANGES FROM 1000 TO 2000 J/KG.

ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE OCCURRING IN SURFACE TROUGH...
TO THE SOUTH WARM FRONT...EAST OF BILLINGS MT INTO AREAS EAST OF
GILLETTE WY.  RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WILL CONTINUE ANOTHER
COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...IN VERY WARM DEEP MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER...UNTIL STABILIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH DIURNAL COOLING
STRENGTHENS.  THEREAFTER...PRIMARY ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
FOCUSED NORTH OF WARM FRONT.  

WARM ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
MAY EVENTUALLY SUPPORT GROWING CLUSTER OF STORMS...WITH STRONGEST
STORMS ON SOUTHERN FLANK...IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO
FRONT...WEST/NORTHWEST OF DICKINSON TOWARD 03-04Z.

..KERR.. 08/17/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...

47280454 47650412 47420286 47000254 46620284 46640405
46970449

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 9:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Billings, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Divide and 22 more2 hr
Aug 16, 10:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Burleigh, Dunn, Eddy, Foster and 15 more55 min
Aug 17, 12:03 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 14 more87 min
Aug 17, 12:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Kidder and 10 more8 hr
Aug 17, 4:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Griggs, Kidder and 10 more117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Montana, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.