Severe Thunderstorm Warning 245, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132112
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
412 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC125-132215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0245.000000T0000Z-050913T2215Z/
MARIES MO-
412 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR MARIES COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM CDT...

AT 408 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST. ELIZABETH...OR 25 MILES EAST OF
OSAGE BEACH...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR VIENNA BY 430 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF BRINKTOWN AND VICHY ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM.

DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 65 MPH WERE REPORTED IN TUSCUMBIA WITH THIS 
STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM...SEEK SAFE SHELTER AND STAY AWAY 
FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3827 9218 3805 9218 3804 9159 3831 9160

$$

IZZI

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132128
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
429 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC125-132215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0245.000000T0000Z-050913T2215Z/
MARIES MO-
429 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR MARIES COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM CDT...

AT 425 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR VIENNA...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROLLA...AND MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF MARIES
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF VIENNA AND VICHY.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3826 9212 3804 9213 3804 9159 3831 9160

$$

IZZI

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132153 RRA
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
452 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC125-132215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0245.000000T0000Z-050913T2215Z/
MARIES MO-
452 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR MARIES COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM CDT...

AT 450 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR VICHY...AND 
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST 
MARIES COUNTY.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3826 9212 3804 9213 3804 9159 3831 9160

$$

TERRY

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132215
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
515 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC125-132223-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0245.000000T0000Z-050913T2215Z/
MARIES MO-
515 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARIES COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 515 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

IF SEVERE WEATHER WAS OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3826 9212 3804 9213 3804 9159 3831 9160

$$

TERRY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
A CHANGE IN THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN THAT HAS PERSISTED ACROSS THE
AREA THE PAST FEW WEEKS WAS UNDERWAY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A LONGWAVE
TROUGH STRETCHED FROM THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TRACKING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM WESTERN IOWA THROUGH
CENTRAL KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO TRAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI. MIXED LAYER CAPES WERE AROUND 1500 J/KG PROVIDING
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY.

THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH EAST WHILE THE SUBTROPICAL
BRANCH OF THE JET STREAKS INTO THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD INTO THE OZARKS TONIGHT AND BECOME WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
UNDERNEATH AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. GOOD INFLUX OF
MOISTURE...FRONTAL SCALE FORCING...AND INCREASING SHEAR PROFILES
WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
INCREASING DEEP LAYERED SHEAR...A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET...AND
INCREASING LIFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COUPLED JET SUGGEST CONVECTION
MAY EVOLVE INTO A LINEAR MCS THAT WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL MAINLY OCCUR EARLY THIS
EVENING AT THE HEIGHT OF INSTABILITY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
APPROACHING 2 INCHES AND 850 MB DEWPOINTS NEAR 14 DEGREES C COMBINED
WITH AMPLE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SUGGEST LOCALLY RAINFALL IS CERTAINLY
POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN WHERE TRAINING
CELLS DEVELOP.

THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF MINOR SHORTWAVES WILL RIDE EASTWARD OVER THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. SOME QUESTION TO THE EXACT TRACK...TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THESE DISTURBANCES. HOWEVER THESE SYSTEMS IN CONJUNCTION
WITH ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD KEEP THE CHANCE OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS GOING INTO THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST RAIN PERCENTAGES WILL
BE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT.
THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL FOR A CHANGE.

RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF LATER THURSDAY AS THE LAST IN THE SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST. SOME QUESTION ABOUT POSSIBLE
RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEKEND AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP. IT APPEARS WARM
AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOCUSED TO OUR NORTH AND WEST IF
IT DEVELOPS AT ALL. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR OR ABOVE
NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...MAIN CHALLENGE THIS TAF CYCLE IS WITH TS CHANCES
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS OVER
KANSAS NOW WILL LIKELY DISRUPT DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON AND
COULD HAMPER ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT.
ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS TONIGHT TO KEEP PREVAILING/TEMPO THUNDER
OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW...HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL AMEND TAFS PRIOR TO 00Z IF TS
CHANCES/TIMING CAN BE PINNED DOWN BETTER. CIGS/VIS WILL LIKELY FALL
TO MVFR IF NOT LOWER DURING THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
AVIATION CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IZZI

&&

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.
    WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.
    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
    VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL
  MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO...
  TO CAMDENTON...TO VICHY. THE STORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
  PUSH SLOWLY EAST OUT OF CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS FRONT WILL INTERACT
  WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY COUPLED
  WITH INCREASING WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT.

  A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT LATER
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
  WILL BE MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO CAMDENTON THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
  INTENSITY AS THEY SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI TONIGHT.

  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS
  MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND SOUTHWEST
  MISSOURI WHERE RAIN AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED TWO INCHES IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
  ROUNDS OF STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
  THURSDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AFTER 2 PM ACROSS
  WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND OVER THE ENTIRE REGION
  THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             4 NE CLIMAX SPGS        38.14N 93.00W
09/13/2005  0.25 INCH        CAMDEN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            50 MPH WINDS ALSO REPORTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
311 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S GRAVOIS MILLS       38.29N 92.82W
09/13/2005  60 MPH           MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 135 SOUTH OF TOWN.

FEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
339 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
09/13/2005                   MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINE DOWN O RD IN LAURIE ALSO REPORT OF TREES ON
            OLD SOUTH 8.

0328 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
09/13/2005  60 MPH           MORGAN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED PENNY HAIL AND 5/8 RAIN IN 15 MINUTES.

0332 PM     HAIL             NEVADA ARPT             37.85N 94.32W
09/13/2005  0.88 INCH        VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

FEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
343 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE SUNRISE BEACH      38.20N 92.75W
09/13/2005                   CAMDEN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. POWER OUT.

FEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
349 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROCKY MOUNT             38.30N 92.70W
09/13/2005                   MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN INTO TREE, FD NOTIFIED. HWY Y IN ROCKY
            MOUNT.

FEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
400 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     HAIL             4 E DEDERICK            37.85N 94.06W
09/13/2005  0.75 INCH        VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
09/13/2005                   MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN 135-3 CUPTREE RD, AND OLD SOUTH 8

0358 PM     HAIL             8 S EL DORADO SPRINGS   37.76N 94.03W
09/13/2005  0.75 INCH        CEDAR              MO   PUBLIC

FEH