Severe Thunderstorm Warning 244, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132057
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
357 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC039-132145-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-050913T2145Z/
CEDAR MO-
357 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR CEDAR COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

AT 355 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR EL DORADO SPRINGS...OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF STOCKTON...
AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
CEDAR COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...CEDAR
SPRINGS...CAPLINGER MILLS AND ARNICA.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3789 9408 3778 9407 3771 9362 3786 9363

$$

IZZI

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132109
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
409 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC039-132145-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-050913T2145Z/
CEDAR MO-
409 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN CEDAR COUNTY 
UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 408 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...OR 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF STOCKTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN CEDAR COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF CEDAR SPRINGS...
CAPLINGER MILLS AND ARNICA.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3789 9396 3778 9396 3771 9362 3786 9363

$$

IZZI

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132126
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
426 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC039-132145-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-050913T2145Z/
CEDAR MO-
426 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHEASTERN CEDAR 
COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 425 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF STOCKTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN CEDAR COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF CAPLINGER MILLS
AND ARNICA.

LAT...LON 3788 9383 3777 9383 3771 9362 3786 9363

$$

IZZI

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 132147
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
447 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

MOC039-132157-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-050913T2145Z/
CEDAR MO-
447 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CEDAR COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 442 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3788 9383 3777 9383 3771 9362 3786 9363

$$

IZZI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
A CHANGE IN THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN THAT HAS PERSISTED ACROSS THE
AREA THE PAST FEW WEEKS WAS UNDERWAY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A LONGWAVE
TROUGH STRETCHED FROM THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TRACKING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM WESTERN IOWA THROUGH
CENTRAL KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO TRAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI. MIXED LAYER CAPES WERE AROUND 1500 J/KG PROVIDING
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY.

THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH EAST WHILE THE SUBTROPICAL
BRANCH OF THE JET STREAKS INTO THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD INTO THE OZARKS TONIGHT AND BECOME WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
UNDERNEATH AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. GOOD INFLUX OF
MOISTURE...FRONTAL SCALE FORCING...AND INCREASING SHEAR PROFILES
WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
INCREASING DEEP LAYERED SHEAR...A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET...AND
INCREASING LIFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COUPLED JET SUGGEST CONVECTION
MAY EVOLVE INTO A LINEAR MCS THAT WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL MAINLY OCCUR EARLY THIS
EVENING AT THE HEIGHT OF INSTABILITY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
APPROACHING 2 INCHES AND 850 MB DEWPOINTS NEAR 14 DEGREES C COMBINED
WITH AMPLE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SUGGEST LOCALLY RAINFALL IS CERTAINLY
POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN WHERE TRAINING
CELLS DEVELOP.

THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF MINOR SHORTWAVES WILL RIDE EASTWARD OVER THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. SOME QUESTION TO THE EXACT TRACK...TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THESE DISTURBANCES. HOWEVER THESE SYSTEMS IN CONJUNCTION
WITH ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD KEEP THE CHANCE OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS GOING INTO THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST RAIN PERCENTAGES WILL
BE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT.
THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL FOR A CHANGE.

RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF LATER THURSDAY AS THE LAST IN THE SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST. SOME QUESTION ABOUT POSSIBLE
RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEKEND AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP. IT APPEARS WARM
AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOCUSED TO OUR NORTH AND WEST IF
IT DEVELOPS AT ALL. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR OR ABOVE
NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...MAIN CHALLENGE THIS TAF CYCLE IS WITH TS CHANCES
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS OVER
KANSAS NOW WILL LIKELY DISRUPT DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON AND
COULD HAMPER ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT.
ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS TONIGHT TO KEEP PREVAILING/TEMPO THUNDER
OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW...HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL AMEND TAFS PRIOR TO 00Z IF TS
CHANCES/TIMING CAN BE PINNED DOWN BETTER. CIGS/VIS WILL LIKELY FALL
TO MVFR IF NOT LOWER DURING THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
AVIATION CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IZZI

&&

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.
    WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.
    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
    VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL
  MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO...
  TO CAMDENTON...TO VICHY. THE STORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
  PUSH SLOWLY EAST OUT OF CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS FRONT WILL INTERACT
  WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY COUPLED
  WITH INCREASING WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT.

  A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT LATER
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
  WILL BE MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO CAMDENTON THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
  INTENSITY AS THEY SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI TONIGHT.

  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS
  MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND SOUTHWEST
  MISSOURI WHERE RAIN AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED TWO INCHES IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
  ROUNDS OF STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
  THURSDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AFTER 2 PM ACROSS
  WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND OVER THE ENTIRE REGION
  THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             4 NE CLIMAX SPGS        38.14N 93.00W
09/13/2005  0.25 INCH        CAMDEN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            50 MPH WINDS ALSO REPORTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
311 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S GRAVOIS MILLS       38.29N 92.82W
09/13/2005  60 MPH           MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 135 SOUTH OF TOWN.

FEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
339 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
09/13/2005                   MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINE DOWN O RD IN LAURIE ALSO REPORT OF TREES ON
            OLD SOUTH 8.

0328 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
09/13/2005  60 MPH           MORGAN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED PENNY HAIL AND 5/8 RAIN IN 15 MINUTES.

0332 PM     HAIL             NEVADA ARPT             37.85N 94.32W
09/13/2005  0.88 INCH        VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

FEH