Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2005

Tornado Warning 53, NWS Paducah, KY

November 15, 2005Hopkins County, McLean County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Nov 15, 2005, 3:42 PM CST for Hopkins County, McLean County, Kentucky. It was in force for 18 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 15, 2005, 3:42 PM CST (21:42 UTC)
Expired: Nov 15, 2005, 4:00 PM CST
In force: 18 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Hopkins County, KY, McLean County, KY

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 15, 7:42 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 680 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 268 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 152142
TORPAH
KYC107-149-152200-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0053.051115T2142Z-051115T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
342 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY.
  MCLEAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY.

* UNTIL 400 PM CST.

* AT 336 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
  MADISONVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SACRAMENTO...LIVERMORE AND ISLAND.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE 
HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. A
TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND
NORTHWEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3741 8712 3741 8718 3739 8721 3739 8730
      3732 8735 3726 8748 3736 8753 3758 8718
      3758 8716 3745 8711 3743 8711

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 14 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
142 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN NEAR TERM FORECAST CONCERNS ARE SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES FROM CURRENT TIME THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND TEMPS
ESPECIALLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE PAH CWA ARE IN A TORNADO WATCH
UNTIL 5AM CST.  LATEST RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS TRAINING ACROSS
AREAS FROM CARTER AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...TO UNION AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS...TO UNION AND HENDERSON COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY. HAVE HAD SOME FLOODING REPORTS...ESPECIALLY URBAN
AREAS...ACROSS AREAS IN THIS HEAVIER BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
GFS...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON CURRENT
PRECIP...INDICATES HEAVIEST PRECIP AREA WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE PAH
FA AFTER 12Z AS WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER NORTH.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN FOR ADDITIONAL URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM/FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...BUT WITH HEAVY RAIN ALREADY OCCURRING
AND EXPECTING THE BAND OF HEAVIEST RAIN TO MOVE NORTH OF THESE AREAS
IN THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...WILL NOT ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS LATE
TIME.

ON TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WITH SPC INCLUDING THE ENTIRE PAH
CWA IN A HIGH RISK...OBVIOUSLY WILL CONTINUE WITH SEVERE MENTION IN
TODAYS ZONES.  GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE NAM WITH THE
LOW...PUTTING IT OVER STL BY 18Z...BUT OVERALL POSITIONING IS VERY
SIMILAR WITH GFS MAYBE JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS FASTER THAN THE NAM.
LOOKS LIKE PRIME TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM LATE MORNING
INTO VERY EARLY EVENING...WITH PRECIP ENDING VERY QUICKLY FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  CURRENT GRID TIMING AND
CATEGORICAL POPS LOOK GOOD AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES.  ONLY
TWEAK TO TODAY WILL BE TO INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES NOW THAT WE ARE IN A HIGH RISK.

TEMPS TODAY WILL BE TRICKY.  AT 07Z...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
ALONG THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI BORDER...TO NORTH OF PAH...TO JUST NORTH
OF EVV...TEMPS RANGE FROM 68 DEGREES AT PAH AND HOP...TO 48 DEGREES
AT MVN.  TEMPS SOUTH OF THE FRONT ARE ALREADY NEAR OR WARMER THAN
THE FORECAST HIGHS OF THE MAV AND MET...SO WILL LOOK TO THE WARMEST
FWC FOR GUIDANCE.  OVERALL EXPECT TO GO WITH A MID 60S NORTH TO
LOWER 70S SOUTH.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...A MAJOR COOL DOWN WILL FOLLOW.  TEMPS WILL
FALL TO 20 TO 30 DEGREES LOWER THAN WE HAVE BEEN HAVING...WHICH WILL
BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.  BY LATE IN THE WEEK...TEMPS WILL
MODERATE TO NEAR SEASONAL.

GFS DOES SHOW A COUPLE OF WEAK...DRY COLD FRONTS MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER SATURDAY NIGHT.  SO FAR
ONLY EFFECTS LOOK LIKE MAYBE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS...BUT...BASED
ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENCES.

MADE SOME CHANGES TO THE NEAR TERM TEMPS...STICKING PRETTY CLOSE TO
SLIGHTLY WARMER MAV VALUES.  IN THE EXTENDED...MADE SOME VERY MINOR
TWEAKS LATE IN THE EXTENDED BASED ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

RST

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 3:55 AM CST, 11 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
355 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-161100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...
SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...
CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
355 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
QUAD STATE REGION TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.  WARM...MOIST AIR
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS A WARM FRONT MAKES
ITS WAY NORTHWARD. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WARM
FRONT THIS MORNING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE STORMS THIS MORNING WILL BE HEAVY RAIN.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT...AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BY LATE MORNING. STORMS WILL
SPREAD EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
AS STORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WITH STORMS. THE GROUND
IS SATURATED ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS DUE TO STORMS THAT HAVE BEEN
ONGOING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...SO FLOODING MAY STILL BE
AN ISSUE WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

RST

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:27 PM CST, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
327 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DAWSON SPRINGS          37.17N 87.69W
11/15/2005                   HOPKINS            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BARN DESTROYED IN DAWSON SPRINGS REPORTED BY SHERIFFS
            OFFICE.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:33 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
333 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND GST     TUNNEL HILL             37.52N 88.84W
11/15/2005  60 MPH           JOHNSON            IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            60 TO 70 MPH WINDS REPORTED 1 MILE NORTH OF TUNNEL HILL
            BY ILLINOIS STATE POLICE.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:36 PM CST, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
336 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     TORNADO          GALATIA                 37.84N 88.61W
11/15/2005                   SALINE             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND ON HARCO ROAD 4 MILES
            SOUTHWEST OF GALATIA.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:37 PM CST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
337 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TORNADO          EARLINGTON              37.27N 87.52W
11/15/2005                   HOPKINS            KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TORNADO REPORTED JUST NORTHEAST OF EARLINGTON MOVING
            NORTHEAST.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:41 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
341 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     GALATIA                 37.84N 88.61W
11/15/2005                   SALINE             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS OVER GALATIA...REPORTED
            BY STATE POLICE.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 3:42 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
342 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 PM     TSTM WND GST     HARRISBURG              37.74N 88.55W
11/15/2005  60 MPH           SALINE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            55 TO 60 MPH WINDS REPORTED 1/4 MILE EAST OF HARRISBURG.
            LIMBS BENDING TO THE GROUND.

&&

WIELGOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 14, 11:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	49 min
Nov 15, 12:15 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 1:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 4:26 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 7:09 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 12:58 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	32 min
Nov 15, 1:11 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Fulton, Hickman	34 min
Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	McCracken	34 min
Nov 15, 1:32 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves	28 min
Nov 15, 1:50 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Livingston	25 min
Nov 15, 1:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway, Marshall	34 min
Nov 15, 2:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves	14 min
Nov 15, 2:03 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Marshall	87 min
Nov 15, 2:05 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden	25 min
Nov 15, 2:25 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Lyon, Marshall	35 min
Nov 15, 2:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Union	37 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell	26 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson	56 min
Nov 15, 2:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Hickman	48 min
Nov 15, 3:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway	17 min
Nov 15, 3:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard	37 min
Nov 15, 3:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins	33 min
Nov 15, 3:30 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Trigg	30 min
Nov 15, 3:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	McLean	23 min
Nov 15, 4:06 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	39 min
Nov 15, 4:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Union	50 min
Nov 15, 4:20 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson	85 min
Nov 15, 4:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	41 min
Nov 15, 4:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson	32 min
Nov 15, 4:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Todd	29 min
Nov 15, 5:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2005 Every tornado warning in 2005 Tornadoes in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.