Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2005

Tornado Warning 28, NWS Paducah, KY

November 15, 2005Fulton County, Hickman County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Nov 15, 2005, 1:11 PM CST for Fulton County, Hickman County, Kentucky. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 15, 2005, 1:11 PM CST (19:11 UTC)
Expired: Nov 15, 2005, 1:45 PM CST
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Fulton County, KY, Hickman County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 15, 7:42 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 699 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 594 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 313 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 346 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.0
Supercell composite: 4.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 151911
TORPAH
KYC075-105-151945-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0028.051115T1911Z-051115T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
111 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.
  HICKMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.

* UNTIL 145 PM CST.

* AT 106 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 14 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF FULTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE FULGHAM.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
LARGE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. A
TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND
NORTHWEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3645 8914 3637 8910 3647 8881 3669 8882

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 11 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 11 hours 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
142 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN NEAR TERM FORECAST CONCERNS ARE SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES FROM CURRENT TIME THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND TEMPS
ESPECIALLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE PAH CWA ARE IN A TORNADO WATCH
UNTIL 5AM CST.  LATEST RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS TRAINING ACROSS
AREAS FROM CARTER AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...TO UNION AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS...TO UNION AND HENDERSON COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY. HAVE HAD SOME FLOODING REPORTS...ESPECIALLY URBAN
AREAS...ACROSS AREAS IN THIS HEAVIER BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
GFS...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON CURRENT
PRECIP...INDICATES HEAVIEST PRECIP AREA WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE PAH
FA AFTER 12Z AS WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER NORTH.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN FOR ADDITIONAL URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM/FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...BUT WITH HEAVY RAIN ALREADY OCCURRING
AND EXPECTING THE BAND OF HEAVIEST RAIN TO MOVE NORTH OF THESE AREAS
IN THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...WILL NOT ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS LATE
TIME.

ON TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WITH SPC INCLUDING THE ENTIRE PAH
CWA IN A HIGH RISK...OBVIOUSLY WILL CONTINUE WITH SEVERE MENTION IN
TODAYS ZONES.  GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE NAM WITH THE
LOW...PUTTING IT OVER STL BY 18Z...BUT OVERALL POSITIONING IS VERY
SIMILAR WITH GFS MAYBE JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS FASTER THAN THE NAM.
LOOKS LIKE PRIME TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM LATE MORNING
INTO VERY EARLY EVENING...WITH PRECIP ENDING VERY QUICKLY FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  CURRENT GRID TIMING AND
CATEGORICAL POPS LOOK GOOD AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES.  ONLY
TWEAK TO TODAY WILL BE TO INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES NOW THAT WE ARE IN A HIGH RISK.

TEMPS TODAY WILL BE TRICKY.  AT 07Z...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
ALONG THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI BORDER...TO NORTH OF PAH...TO JUST NORTH
OF EVV...TEMPS RANGE FROM 68 DEGREES AT PAH AND HOP...TO 48 DEGREES
AT MVN.  TEMPS SOUTH OF THE FRONT ARE ALREADY NEAR OR WARMER THAN
THE FORECAST HIGHS OF THE MAV AND MET...SO WILL LOOK TO THE WARMEST
FWC FOR GUIDANCE.  OVERALL EXPECT TO GO WITH A MID 60S NORTH TO
LOWER 70S SOUTH.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...A MAJOR COOL DOWN WILL FOLLOW.  TEMPS WILL
FALL TO 20 TO 30 DEGREES LOWER THAN WE HAVE BEEN HAVING...WHICH WILL
BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.  BY LATE IN THE WEEK...TEMPS WILL
MODERATE TO NEAR SEASONAL.

GFS DOES SHOW A COUPLE OF WEAK...DRY COLD FRONTS MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER SATURDAY NIGHT.  SO FAR
ONLY EFFECTS LOOK LIKE MAYBE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS...BUT...BASED
ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENCES.

MADE SOME CHANGES TO THE NEAR TERM TEMPS...STICKING PRETTY CLOSE TO
SLIGHTLY WARMER MAV VALUES.  IN THE EXTENDED...MADE SOME VERY MINOR
TWEAKS LATE IN THE EXTENDED BASED ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

RST

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 3:55 AM CST, 9 hours 16 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
355 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-161100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...
SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...
CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
355 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
QUAD STATE REGION TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.  WARM...MOIST AIR
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS A WARM FRONT MAKES
ITS WAY NORTHWARD. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WARM
FRONT THIS MORNING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE STORMS THIS MORNING WILL BE HEAVY RAIN.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT...AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BY LATE MORNING. STORMS WILL
SPREAD EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
AS STORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WITH STORMS. THE GROUND
IS SATURATED ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS DUE TO STORMS THAT HAVE BEEN
ONGOING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...SO FLOODING MAY STILL BE
AN ISSUE WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

RST

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 15, 12:20 PM CST, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1220 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WOLF LAKE               37.50N 89.47W
11/15/2005                   UNION              IL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MAJOR FLOODING ON MORGAN SCHOOL ROAD. EVACUATIONS BEING
            CONDUCTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

Local storm report, Nov 15, 12:43 PM CST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1243 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1237 PM     TORNADO          EAST PRAIRIE            36.78N 89.38W
11/15/2005                   MISSISSIPPI        MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONFIRMED TORNADO ON THE GROUND HEADING EAST TOWARD EAST
            PRAIRIE MISSOURI

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 12:50 PM CST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1250 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 PM     TORNADO          EAST PRAIRIE            36.78N 89.38W
11/15/2005                   MISSISSIPPI        MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            REPORTS CONTINUE TO CONFIRM A TORNADO ON THE GROUND IN
            THE VICINITY OF EAST PRAIRIE. RELAYED BY COUNTY SHERIFF.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 12:58 PM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1258 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     HAIL             WYATT                   36.91N 89.22W
11/15/2005  1.00 INCH        MISSISSIPPI        MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            REPORTED AT THE JUNCTION J/JJ.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 1:00 PM CST, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
100 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     TORNADO          WYATT                   36.91N 89.22W
11/15/2005                   MISSISSIPPI        MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            CONFIRMED TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BEHIND BOOMLAND NEAR
            WYATT. REPORTED BY THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPT.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Nov 15, 1:08 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
108 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0101 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     E MARION                37.73N 88.94W
11/15/2005                   WILLIAMSON         IL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED AT ROUTE 13 AND HWY 166 EAST OF
            MARION...MOVING NORTHEAST.

&&

WIELGOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 14, 11:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	49 min
Nov 15, 12:15 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 1:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 4:26 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 7:09 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	3 hr
Nov 15, 12:58 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	32 min
Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	McCracken	34 min
Nov 15, 1:32 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves	28 min
Nov 15, 1:50 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Livingston	25 min
Nov 15, 1:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway, Marshall	34 min
Nov 15, 2:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves	14 min
Nov 15, 2:03 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Marshall	87 min
Nov 15, 2:05 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden	25 min
Nov 15, 2:25 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Lyon, Marshall	35 min
Nov 15, 2:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Union	37 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell	26 min
Nov 15, 2:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson	56 min
Nov 15, 2:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Hickman	48 min
Nov 15, 3:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway	17 min
Nov 15, 3:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard	37 min
Nov 15, 3:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins	33 min
Nov 15, 3:30 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Trigg	30 min
Nov 15, 3:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean	18 min
Nov 15, 3:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	McLean	23 min
Nov 15, 4:06 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	39 min
Nov 15, 4:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Union	50 min
Nov 15, 4:20 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson	85 min
Nov 15, 4:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	41 min
Nov 15, 4:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson	32 min
Nov 15, 4:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Todd	29 min
Nov 15, 5:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2005 Every tornado warning in 2005 Tornadoes in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.