Severe Thunderstorm Warning 145, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072104
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
401 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC105-072145-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-050907T2145Z/
ROCK WI-
401 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT 
FOR ROCK COUNTY...

AT 350 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MILTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 59 EAST TO THE 
WALWORTH COUNTY LINE THROUGH 415PM. 
 
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4280 8918 4266 8909 4274 8878 4283 8881
      4284 8894

$$

KRR

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072113
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
411 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC105-072145-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-050907T2145Z/
ROCK WI-
411 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT 
FOR ROCK COUNTY...

AT 410 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST 
EAST OF MILTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF ROCK COUNTY ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 59 TO THE WALWORTH COUNTY BORDER 
THROUGH ABOUT 430 PM. 

IF ON OR NEAR A LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OF 
INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES 
FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE 
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. 
DONT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM

LAT...LON 4280 8918 4266 8909 4274 8878 4283 8881
      4284 8894

$$

KAPELA

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072132
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
431 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC105-072141-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-050907T2145Z/
ROCK WI-
431 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ROCK COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR ROCK COUNTY HAS DIMINISHED 
IN STRENGTH AND IS NO LONGER SEVERE...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED. THE STORM WAS ON THE ROCK-WALWROTH COUNTY LINE AS OF 432 
PM AND WILL BE ENTIRELY WITHIN WALWORTH COUNTY BY 445 PM.

SCATTTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ROCK 
AND WALWORTH COUNTIES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING.

LAT...LON 4280 8918 4266 8909 4274 8878 4283 8881
      4284 8894

$$

KAPELA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SCATTERED CONVECTION THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH LF QUAD H300 JET
INTERACTING WITH H850 BARO ZONE. SURFACE BOUNDARY VERY SHALLOW AND
NOT A FACTOR. RADAR AND SAT LOOPS INDICATE THAT MOST OF ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE EAST OF CWA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...AS H850 BARO ZONE SINKS
SOUTHWARD AND H300 JET PROGRESSES EASTWARD. THIS CORRESPONDS WELL
WITH NAM AND GFS QPF PATTERN.

NEXT CHANCE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BOTH NAM AND
GFS INDICATE H700 TROUGH AND H500 SHORT WAVE ROTATING ACROSS CWA.
NAM IS STRONGER OF THE TWO MODELS. THERE IS ALSO OVERRUNNING H850
BARO ZONE LAYING JUST TO THE WEST OF CWA...WITH H850 MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE. CAPES OF AROUND 800 EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
LI/S OF AROUND -3...AND TT AND K INDICES OF 46 AND 29 RESPECTIVELY.
NOT REALLY UNSTABLE...BUT ENOUGH TO MENTION CHANCES IN FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THURSDAY NIGHT...H850 BARO ZONE TIGHTENS UP AND
PROGRESSES INTO CWA WITH MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. BOTH MODELS INDICATE
SOME DEGREE OF H500 SUPPORT WITH WEAK VORT MAXES. NAM AND GFS BOTH
INDICATE SOME SMALL QPF AMOUNTS MAINLY DURING EVENING HOURS.

HAVE INTRODUCED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH LLJ
INCREASING ACROSS H850 BARO ZONE. MODELS INDICATE SOME DEGREE OF
VORT MAX SUPPORT AND H700 OMEGA DURING AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO
STRONG H850 AND H700 MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. BUFFY IS UNSTABLE WITH
CAPES OF AROUND 850 AND LI/S OF -3. TT AND K INDICES OF 50 AND 36
RESPECTIVELY.

QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED FOR WEEKEND WITH STRONG DRYING AND
SUBSIDENCE IN MID LEVELS. HOWEVER...VERY WARM H850 TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN DAYTIME HIGHS IN MID 80S.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-080945-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...MAINLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF A MILWAUKEE...MADISON TO LONE ROCK LINE. THE PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LMZ643>646-665-080945-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AN TONIGHT. A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE WINDS TO NEAR 35 KNOTS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

REM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT..CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
318 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-072100-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
318 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2005

A LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST
THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT. THROUGH 330 PM...THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH MARQUETTE...GREEN LAKE...FOND DU
LAC...AND SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES.  OTHER STRONG STORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS
OF COLUMBIA...DANE...AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM BEAVER DAM TO COLUMBUS TO WAUNAKEE.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. ISOLATED
STORMS CAN BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE...DAMAGING HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

KAPELA
CORRECTED FOR DATE/TIME GROUPS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
350 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-072130-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
350 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2005

A LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST
THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT. THROUGH 430 PM...THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH FOND DU LAC...DODGE...AND SHEBOYGAN
COUNTIES.  OTHER STRONG STORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF EASTERN
COLUMBIA...EASTERN DANE...JEFFERSON...AND ROCK COUNTIES THROUGH 430
PM.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. ISOLATED
STORMS CAN BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE...DAMAGING HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

KRR