Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072015
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
313 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC077-072030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-050907T2030Z/
MARQUETTE WI-
313 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MARQUETTE COUNTY...

AT 311 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE 
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF NESHKORO...OR ABOUT 14 MILES WEST OF 
BERLIN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE RURAL AREA OF MARQUETTE COUNTY SOUTH OF NESHKORO...DOWN TO JUST 
EAST OF MONTELLO WILL FEEL THE EFFECTS OF THE SEVERE STORM THROUGH 
ABOUT 330 PM.

STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES UNTIL THE STORMS 
PASS.

LAT...LON 4396 8950 4379 8940 4388 8921 4398 8919
      4398 8935

$$

KAPELA

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072023
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
322 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC077-072032-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-050907T2030Z/
MARQUETTE WI-
322 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARQUETTE COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR MARQUETTE COUNTY HAS MOVED 
EAST INTO GREEN LAKE COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED. 

SCATTTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SAUK 
COUNTY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


LAT...LON 4396 8950 4379 8940 4388 8921 4398 8919
      4398 8935

$$

KAPELA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SCATTERED CONVECTION THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH LF QUAD H300 JET
INTERACTING WITH H850 BARO ZONE. SURFACE BOUNDARY VERY SHALLOW AND
NOT A FACTOR. RADAR AND SAT LOOPS INDICATE THAT MOST OF ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE EAST OF CWA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...AS H850 BARO ZONE SINKS
SOUTHWARD AND H300 JET PROGRESSES EASTWARD. THIS CORRESPONDS WELL
WITH NAM AND GFS QPF PATTERN.

NEXT CHANCE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BOTH NAM AND
GFS INDICATE H700 TROUGH AND H500 SHORT WAVE ROTATING ACROSS CWA.
NAM IS STRONGER OF THE TWO MODELS. THERE IS ALSO OVERRUNNING H850
BARO ZONE LAYING JUST TO THE WEST OF CWA...WITH H850 MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE. CAPES OF AROUND 800 EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
LI/S OF AROUND -3...AND TT AND K INDICES OF 46 AND 29 RESPECTIVELY.
NOT REALLY UNSTABLE...BUT ENOUGH TO MENTION CHANCES IN FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THURSDAY NIGHT...H850 BARO ZONE TIGHTENS UP AND
PROGRESSES INTO CWA WITH MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. BOTH MODELS INDICATE
SOME DEGREE OF H500 SUPPORT WITH WEAK VORT MAXES. NAM AND GFS BOTH
INDICATE SOME SMALL QPF AMOUNTS MAINLY DURING EVENING HOURS.

HAVE INTRODUCED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH LLJ
INCREASING ACROSS H850 BARO ZONE. MODELS INDICATE SOME DEGREE OF
VORT MAX SUPPORT AND H700 OMEGA DURING AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO
STRONG H850 AND H700 MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. BUFFY IS UNSTABLE WITH
CAPES OF AROUND 850 AND LI/S OF -3. TT AND K INDICES OF 50 AND 36
RESPECTIVELY.

QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED FOR WEEKEND WITH STRONG DRYING AND
SUBSIDENCE IN MID LEVELS. HOWEVER...VERY WARM H850 TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN DAYTIME HIGHS IN MID 80S.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-080945-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...MAINLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF A MILWAUKEE...MADISON TO LONE ROCK LINE. THE PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LMZ643>646-665-080945-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
251 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AN TONIGHT. A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE WINDS TO NEAR 35 KNOTS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

REM