Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 071945
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
244 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC111-072030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-050907T2030Z/
SAUK WI-
244 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT 
FOR SAUK COUNTY...

AT 244 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF LA 
VALLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JUST WEST OF LAKE DELTON AT 300 PM CDT

LAT...LON 4363 9022 4358 9021 4356 9018 4352 8981
      4364 8980

$$

KAPELA

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 071959
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
258 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC111-072030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-050907T2030Z/
SAUK WI-
258 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT 
FOR SAUK COUNTY...

AT 258 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL SAUK COUNTY...OR ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH OF 
NEAR REEDSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JUST WEST OF LAKE DELTON AT 315 PM CDT

OTHER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE FOUND OVER WESTERN SAUK COUNTY IN 
THE LIME RIDGE TO HILL POINT AREA. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 25 
MPH AND COULD BECOME SEVERE AS WELL. PEOPLE IN THE BARABOO TO HILL 
POINT AREA SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 4363 9010 4359 9008 4356 9014 4352 8981
      4364 8980

$$

KAPELA

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 072003
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
302 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIC111-072012-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-050907T2030Z/
SAUK WI-
302 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SAUK COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR SAUK COUNTY HAS DIMINISHED 
IN STRENGTH AND IS NO LONGER SEVERE...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED. 

SCATTTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SAUK 
COUNTY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LAT...LON 4363 9010 4359 9008 4356 9014 4352 8981
      4364 8980

$$

KAPELA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
330 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

SFC PRESSURE PATTERN REMAINS ON THE WEAK SIDE ACRS UPR MIDWEST TNGT.
VRY SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE FRONT...THO MODELS TEND TO PUSH THIS
BOUNDARY THROUGH TODAY. SOME CAPE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY BUT NOT
CONVINCED THAT IT WILL BE AS GENEROUS AS NAM BUFFY SOUNDINGS
INDICATE. NAM SHOWS ONLY A WEAK VORT LOBE FLOPPING ACRS FM IA THIS
AFTN THO H7 VV A BIT MORE IMPRESSIVE. H8 CONVERGENCE...ALBEIT WEAK...
DOES COINCIDE WITH TIME OF MAX HEATING TODAY. WILL MAINTAIN A LOW
POP WITH THIS SCENARIO.

FCST FOCUS SHIFTS TO LATER THU INTO THU NGT AS NAM/NGM SHOW
REASONABLE LOOKING POTENT VORT COMING ACRS IN THE FLOW. GFS APPEARS
TO BE SUFFERING FROM ITS USUAL CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS. H8
MOIST FLUX CONV OVERLAID WITH H2 UPR DVRG IMPLIES FAIRLY DEEP LIFT
WITH THIS SYS. INSTAB DEPENDENT ON WHERE SFC FRONT SETS UP. GFS
BRINGS FRONT BACK NORTH INTO CWA THU NGT WHILE NAM/NGM WELL SOUTH
OF BORDER WITH FRONTAL POSITION. UKMET SHOWING A BIT OF A
COMPROMISE POSN WITH BOUNDARY VCNTY SRN WI/NRN IL LATER THU/THU
NGT. SPC KEYING ON LOCALES SOUTH AND WEST FOR HIGHEST SVR THREAT...
THO GIVEN DYNAMICS FRONTAL POSN WILL BE KEY. FOR NOW WILL RAISE
POPS TO LIKELY CAT.

ADVERTISED WARMUP STILL ON TRACK FOR WEEKEND AND INTO ERLY NEXT WEEK
AS UPR RDG BUILDS ACRS MIDWEST.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1050 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-080945-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
1050 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-665-080945-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
1050 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AN TONIGHT. A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE WINDS TO NEAR 35 KNOTS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

HENTZ/REM