Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
206 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO TRIGGER THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF MY NORTHERN COUNTY WARNING AREA TONIGHT. THE REST OF MY
AREA WILL LIKELY SEE A DECREASE IN ACTIVITY LATER TONIGHT.
GUIDANCE MODELS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BUT THE OVERALL MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS
IMPRESSIVE. A FEW AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH COULD SEE SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STRONGER STORMS COULD SPREAD INTO
THE CENTRAL SECTIONS TOMORROW IF THE FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD.
A RELATIVELY DRY DAY CAN BE EXPECTED NEXT SUNDAY.(38)
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  73  93  73  94 /  30  40  20  20
HARRISON AR       69  86  69  90 /  50  50  30  30
HOT SPRINGS AR    73  93  72  94 /  30  40  20  20
PINE BLUFF AR     74  94  73  95 /  30  30  20  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  69  86  70  89 /  50  50  30  30
MONTICELLO AR     75  95  73  95 /  30  30  20  20
SEARCY AR         73  92  72  93 /  30  40  30  20
MOUNT IDA AR      73  93  72  94 /  30  40  20  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  91  71  92 /  40  40  30  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT AND LONG TERM...38

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1202 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-151000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1202 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. ISOLATED
RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THE STORMS WILL BE IN THE RANGE OF 1 TO 2
INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

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