Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 132224
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
522 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

ILC013-149-MOC163-132245-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-050613T2245Z/
CALHOUN IL-PIKE IL-PIKE MO-
522 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR 
EASTERN PIKE MISSOURI...SOUTHEASTERN PIKE ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN 
CALHOUN COUNTIES...

AT 517 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH OVER MOZIER...MOVING 
EAST AT 45 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHEASTERN PIKE 
COUNTY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZED HAIL WILL CONTINUE MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT AROUND 45 MPH AS WELL.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
INCLUDE...NEBO...PEARL...BELLEVIEW...HILCREST...KAMPSVILLE...AND 
HAMBURG.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 3923 9123 3922 9083 3923 9061 3967 9067

$$

CARNEY

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 132239 RRA
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
537 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

ILC149-MOC163-132247-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-050613T2245Z/
PIKE IL-PIKE MO-
537 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PIKE COUNTY MISSOURI AND PIKE 
COUNTY ILLINOIS HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 535 PM WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE STORMS WHICH 
PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3939 9063 3938 9062 3925 9062 3924 9061
      3924 9070 3923 9073 3930 9077 3936 9085
      3940 9093

$$

ILC013-132245-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-050613T2245Z/
CALHOUN IL-
537 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR 
NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY...

AT 532 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
OVER HAMBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
INCLUDE...BELLEVIEW AND HILLCREST.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 3939 9063 3938 9062 3925 9062 3924 9061
      3924 9070 3923 9073 3930 9077 3936 9085
      3940 9093

$$

CARNEY

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 132249
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
548 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

ILC013-132256-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-050613T2245Z/
CALHOUN IL-
548 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY HAS 
EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3939 9063 3938 9062 3925 9062 3924 9061
      3924 9070 3923 9073 3930 9077 3936 9085
      3940 9093

$$

CARNEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
145 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST NEBRASKA WITH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRAILING SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. LOW
WILL MOVE INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE COLD FRONT
TRAILING SOUTHWARD ACROSS ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND DOMINATE OUR
WEATHER PATTERN INTO THE WEEKEND WITH COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM FOR A PORTION OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. CAP LAPS DATA INDICATED
LIS OF -5 TO -7 ACROSS THIS AREA WHILE CAPES HAVE INCREASED INTO
THE 2000-3000 J/KG RANGE. CAP WAS RAPIDLY ERODING ACROSS CENTRAL
MISSOURI DURING THE PAST HOUR WITH ISOLATED ELEVATED CONVECTION THAT
REGION.

MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH MOISTURE FIELDS FOR TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. MODELS ADVECT MUCH DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY
WITH KS FORECAST BELOW 20 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BY 12Z.

HIGHER 850 MOISTURE HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA WITH MID TEEN C
DEWPOINTS. SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE ADVECTION/TRANSPORT IS FORECAST BY
THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH AREA OF ADVECTION MOVING OFF RAPIDLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER 850 MB AIR WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE GFS AND NAM ARE SIMILAR IN
FORECASTSING 10C TO 12C TEMPS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE UKMET AND NAM FORECAST SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
ADVECTION/TRANSPORT BACK INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY
MORNING. EXPECT CONVECTION TO REMAIN TO THE SOUTHWEST OF FORECAST
AREA.

H5 SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL SWING
NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT. MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN MOVING SYSTEM
INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA/OHIO VALLEY LATE ON WEDNESDAY WITH UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE GREAT PLAINS.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD, THE 13/00Z RUN OF THE EUROPEAN AND THE
12/06Z RUN OF THE DGEX ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH A H5 CLOSED LOW OVER
SOUTHEAST ONTARIO THURSDAY EVENING WITH RIDGE AXIS FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY
INTO THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND CENTRAL U.S. WITH DEEP
TROF OR CLOSED LOW OVER THE EASATERN U.S. AND ALONG THE PACIFIC
COAST.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
345 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-141200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
345 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI
AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.  THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AS THE COLD FRONT FINALLY EXITS THE REGION.  WHILE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE WANING...ENOUGH IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE SOME THUNDERSTORMS.  HOWEVER...NONE OF THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
347 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             QUINCY                  39.93N 91.39W
06/13/2005  1.00 INCH        ADAMS              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VARIED FROM PEAS TO QUARTERS

&&

SDD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
421 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             10 S FULTON             38.71N 91.95W
06/13/2005  0.75 INCH        CALLAWAY           MO   PUBLIC

&&

SDD