Severe Thunderstorm Warning 44, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090354
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1054 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC191-090430-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-050509T0430Z/
SUMNER KS-
1054 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SUMNER COUNTY UNTIL
1130 PM CDT...

AT 1053 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6
MILES EAST OF CONWAY SPRINGS TO BLUFF CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WELLINGTON BY  1125 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF MILAN...MAYFIELD...RIVERDALE AND PERTH ARE ALSO IN THE
PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3745 9778 3705 9777 3703 9715 3746 9716

$$

/DARMOFAL

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090429
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1129 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC191-090439-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-050509T0430Z/
SUMNER KS-
1129 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SUMNER COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 1129 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3745 9778 3705 9777 3703 9715 3746 9716

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1008 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

.UPDATE...
LATEST PROFILERS SHOWING THE LOW LEVEL FLOW GRADUALLY INCREASING
ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND TURNING SOUTHWEST. MEANWHILE, A COOL
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS CONTINUED TO SLIDE SOUTH INTO
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THIS LOW LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH THE BOUNDARY HAS
CAUSED MORE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE BEFORE MIDNIGHT, BUT
WE WILL CONTINUE LOSE ELEVATED INSTABILITY DURING THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT INTO SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING MARGINAL SIZE HAIL
AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... / ISSUED 750 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005/

.UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE THE TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WHICH PROVIDES GOOD
UPDRAFT STRENGTH. THUNDERSTORM OUTLFLOW BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING DUE TO LACK OF SHEAR. LATEST RADAR
IMAGERY IS ALSO SHOWING A NORTH TO SOUTH DEWPOINT BOUNDARY
CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST. THIS BOUNDARY HAS ALSO BEEN GENERATING SOME
ISOLATED ELEVATED STORMS, BUT THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN
AFTER SUNSET.

ON ANOTHER NOTE, WE WILL BE CANCELLING THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR CENTRAL KANSAS BEFORE 8 PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005/

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXITING THE AREA TONIGHT AND WHEN THE
FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

TONIGHT:
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
DRY LINE IN CENTRAL KANSAS. WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO INDICATED MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVING INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THIS MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH GOOD CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRY
LINE HAS CAUSED THESE STORMS TO INITIATE EARLIER. HOWEVER, THE
LATEST KICT RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THERE ARE NUMEROUS
BOUNDARIES AROUND. AS THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR PUSHES INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, THIS MAY HELP
INITIATE STORMS ALONG ANY EXISTING BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS WILL
BE DRIVEN BY LOTS OF CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 3000J/KG, WHICH WILL
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION, IF THERE ARE ANY INTERSECTING
BOUNDARIES AROUND THIS COULD SPIN UP A LANDSPOUT. WOULD EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THESE STORMS TO BE NON-SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO THE WEAK
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON, I WOULD EXPECT THE STORMS
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN SINCE THE CAPES ARE SO LARGE, BUT MORE STORMS
WILL MOST LIKELY FIRE UP EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THIS EVENING AS
THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR MOVES IN, WHICH WILL CREAT GOOD UPGLIDE.
MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS WILL VERY SLOW, ESPECIALLY GENERALLY BE
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

MONDAY:
IT APPEARS LIKE WE WILL SEE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXITING THE
PICTURE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WHICH WILL PROVIDE A RATHER WARM
AND MILD DAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 80 ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.

MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY:
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CONTINUE BUILD OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP US WARM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG THE WARM FRONT. WE DID MENTION
A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER MAINLY NEAR INTERSTATE 70 WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH THAT REGION. OTHERWISE, IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND WINDY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY
CREEPING UP TO 90.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT:
ALL THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO POSSIBLY SLIDE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
THURSDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE MENTIONED THE HIGHEST POPS DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND ALLOW FOR
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AS A RESULT, A FAIRLY
NICE WEEKEND SHOULD BE IN STORE WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    58  81  57  88 /  40  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      57  80  55  88 /  40  10  10  10
NEWTON          58  80  56  87 /  40  10  10  10
ELDORADO        59  80  58  87 /  50  20  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   59  82  59  88 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELL         53  79  54  89 /  30   5  10  10
GREAT BEND      54  80  54  89 /  20   5  10  10
SALINA          56  78  55  86 /  40  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       57  79  55  87 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     61  81  61  87 /  60  20  10  10
CHANUTE         61  80  60  86 /  60  20  10  10
IOLA            61  79  60  86 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

COX/COX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
905 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-091200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
905 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A MCPHERSON TO COTTONWOOD FALLS LINE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS AND WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN ENTER THE FORECAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE PLAINS. AT THIS TIME, IT IS
TOO FAR OUT TO SPECULATE ON THE SEVERITY OF THE STORMS, SO PLEASE
CHECK BACK FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KETCHAM/LAWSON/COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1023 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1019 PM     HAIL             LEON                    37.69N 96.78W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1027 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1024 PM     FLOOD            WICHITA                 37.69N 97.34W
05/08/2005                   SEDGWICK           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STREET FLOODING ON WEST STREET BETWEEN CENTRAL AND 13TH
            STREET.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1029 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     HAIL             3 SSE ANTHONY           37.12N 98.02W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        HARPER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1037 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 PM     HAIL             DOUGLASS                37.52N 97.01W
05/08/2005  0.88 INCH        BUTLER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTH SIDE OF THE CITY OF DOUGLASS.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1038 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     FLOOD            WICHITA                 37.69N 97.34W
05/08/2005                   SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            STREET FLOODING AT SENECA AND 31ST STREET SOUTH.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1041 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 PM     FLOOD            WICHITA                 37.69N 97.34W
05/08/2005                   SEDGWICK           KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KSN NEWS REPORTED STREET FLOODING AT LINCOLN AND
            HILLSIDE.

&&

BRW