Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090200
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
859 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC015-090230-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-050509T0230Z/
BUTLER KS-
859 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY
UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 858 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6
MILES EAST OF POTWIN...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF EL DORADO...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  5 MILES NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO BY  910 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF EL DORADO LAKE AND ROSALIA ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT 
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3808 9697 3789 9715 3765 9672 3799 9653

$$

/DARMOFAL

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090222
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
921 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC015-090230-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-050509T0230Z/
BUTLER KS-
921 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY
UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 920 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF EL DORADO...AND MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE TOWN OF EL DORADO AND 
EL DORADO LAKE.

LAT...LON 3808 9697 3789 9715 3765 9672 3799 9653

$$

/DARMOFAL

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090227
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
927 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC015-090237-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-050509T0230Z/
BUTLER KS-
927 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY HAS 
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 930 PM CDT...

AT 925 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3808 9697 3789 9715 3765 9672 3799 9653

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
750 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

.UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE THE TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WHICH PROVIDES GOOD
UPDRAFT STRENGTH. THUNDERSTORM OUTLFLOW BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH
THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE REMAINDER
OF THE EVENING DUE TO LACK OF SHEAR. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY IS ALSO
SHOWING A NORTH TO SOUTH DEWPOINT BOUNDARY CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST.
THIS BOUNDARY HAS ALSO BEEN GENERATING SOME ISOLATED ELEVATED
STORMS, BUT THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET.

ON ANOTHER NOTE, WE WILL BE CANCELLING THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR CENTRAL KANSAS BEFORE 8 PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005/

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXITING THE AREA TONIGHT AND WHEN THE
FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

TONIGHT:
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
DRY LINE IN CENTRAL KANSAS. WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO INDICATED MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVING INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THIS MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH GOOD CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRY
LINE HAS CAUSED THESE STORMS TO INITIATE EARLIER. HOWEVER, THE
LATEST KICT RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THERE ARE NUMEROUS
BOUNDARIES AROUND. AS THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR PUSHES INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, THIS MAY HELP
INITIATE STORMS ALONG ANY EXISTING BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS WILL
BE DRIVEN BY LOTS OF CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 3000J/KG, WHICH WILL
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION, IF THERE ARE ANY INTERSECTING
BOUNDARIES AROUND THIS COULD SPIN UP A LANDSPOUT. WOULD EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THESE STORMS TO BE NON-SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO THE WEAK
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON, I WOULD EXPECT THE STORMS
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN SINCE THE CAPES ARE SO LARGE, BUT MORE STORMS
WILL MOST LIKELY FIRE UP EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THIS EVENING AS
THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR MOVES IN, WHICH WILL CREAT GOOD UPGLIDE.
MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS WILL VERY SLOW, ESPECIALLY GENERALLY BE
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

MONDAY:
IT APPEARS LIKE WE WILL SEE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXITING THE
PICTURE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WHICH WILL PROVIDE A RATHER WARM
AND MILD DAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 80 ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.

MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY:
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CONTINUE BUILD OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP US WARM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG THE WARM FRONT. WE DID MENTION
A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER MAINLY NEAR INTERSTATE 70 WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH THAT REGION. OTHERWISE, IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND WINDY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY
CREEPING UP TO 90.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT:
ALL THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO POSSIBLY SLIDE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
THURSDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE MENTIONED THE HIGHEST POPS DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND ALLOW FOR
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AS A RESULT, A FAIRLY
NICE WEEKEND SHOULD BE IN STORE WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    58  81  57  88 /  40  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      57  80  55  88 /  40  10  10  10
NEWTON          58  80  56  87 /  40  10  10  10
ELDORADO        59  80  58  87 /  50  20  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   59  82  59  88 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELL         53  79  54  89 /  30   5  10  10
GREAT BEND      54  80  54  89 /  20   5  10  10
SALINA          56  78  55  86 /  40  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       57  79  55  87 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     61  81  61  87 /  60  20  10  10
CHANUTE         61  80  60  86 /  60  20  10  10
IOLA            61  79  60  86 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

COX/COX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-091200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF AN
ELLSWORTH TO GREAT BEND LINE THROUGH 9 PM. THESE STORMS WILL
GENERALLY MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH. THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER, A
SMALL TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG A BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM
SALINA TO LYONS. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
MOVE EAST DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN ENTER THE FORECAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE PLAINS. AT THIS TIME, IT IS
TOO FAR OUT TO SPECULATE ON THE SEVERITY OF THE STORMS, SO PLEASE
CHECK BACK FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KETCHAM/LAWSON/COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
833 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0833 PM     HAIL             5 S NEWTON              37.97N 97.34W
05/08/2005  0.75 INCH        HARVEY             KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     HAIL             COLWICH                 37.78N 97.54W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        SEDGWICK           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
838 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     HAIL             2 N HAVEN               37.93N 97.78W
05/08/2005  0.75 INCH        RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
843 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     HAIL             HUTCHINSON              38.07N 97.91W
05/08/2005  0.88 INCH        RENO               KS   PUBLIC

&&

BRW

KSZ067>070-082-083-091>094-098-090300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
848 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UPDATE MESSAGE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234 HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 10 PM FOR
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS,

RENO, KINGMAN, HARPER, HARVEY, SEDGWICK, SUMNER, BUTLER, COWLEY,
GREENWOOD, ELK AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES.

SEVERAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO.

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
849 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 PM     HAIL             5 SW SEDGWICK           37.86N 97.49W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW