Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 090108
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
807 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC079-090130-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-050509T0130Z/
HARVEY KS-
807 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR HARVEY COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 804 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HESSTON TO BURRTON...AND MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WALTON BY  815 PM CDT.
  NEAR NEWTON BY  820 PM CDT.
  NEAR HALSTEAD BY  825 PM CDT.

THE TOWN OF NORTH NEWTON IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT 
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3816 9770 3792 9768 3792 9716 3816 9717

$$

/DARMOFAL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
750 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

.UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE THE TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WHICH PROVIDES GOOD
UPDRAFT STRENGTH. THUNDERSTORM OUTLFLOW BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH
THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE REMAINDER
OF THE EVENING DUE TO LACK OF SHEAR. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY IS ALSO
SHOWING A NORTH TO SOUTH DEWPOINT BOUNDARY CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST.
THIS BOUNDARY HAS ALSO BEEN GENERATING SOME ISOLATED ELEVATED
STORMS, BUT THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET.

ON ANOTHER NOTE, WE WILL BE CANCELLING THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR CENTRAL KANSAS BEFORE 8 PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005/

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXITING THE AREA TONIGHT AND WHEN THE
FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

TONIGHT:
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
DRY LINE IN CENTRAL KANSAS. WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO INDICATED MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVING INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THIS MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH GOOD CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRY
LINE HAS CAUSED THESE STORMS TO INITIATE EARLIER. HOWEVER, THE
LATEST KICT RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THERE ARE NUMEROUS
BOUNDARIES AROUND. AS THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR PUSHES INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, THIS MAY HELP
INITIATE STORMS ALONG ANY EXISTING BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS WILL
BE DRIVEN BY LOTS OF CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 3000J/KG, WHICH WILL
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION, IF THERE ARE ANY INTERSECTING
BOUNDARIES AROUND THIS COULD SPIN UP A LANDSPOUT. WOULD EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THESE STORMS TO BE NON-SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO THE WEAK
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON, I WOULD EXPECT THE STORMS
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN SINCE THE CAPES ARE SO LARGE, BUT MORE STORMS
WILL MOST LIKELY FIRE UP EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THIS EVENING AS
THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR MOVES IN, WHICH WILL CREAT GOOD UPGLIDE.
MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS WILL VERY SLOW, ESPECIALLY GENERALLY BE
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

MONDAY:
IT APPEARS LIKE WE WILL SEE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXITING THE
PICTURE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WHICH WILL PROVIDE A RATHER WARM
AND MILD DAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 80 ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.

MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY:
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CONTINUE BUILD OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP US WARM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG THE WARM FRONT. WE DID MENTION
A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER MAINLY NEAR INTERSTATE 70 WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH THAT REGION. OTHERWISE, IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND WINDY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY
CREEPING UP TO 90.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT:
ALL THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO POSSIBLY SLIDE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
THURSDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE MENTIONED THE HIGHEST POPS DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND ALLOW FOR
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AS A RESULT, A FAIRLY
NICE WEEKEND SHOULD BE IN STORE WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    58  81  57  88 /  40  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      57  80  55  88 /  40  10  10  10
NEWTON          58  80  56  87 /  40  10  10  10
ELDORADO        59  80  58  87 /  50  20  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   59  82  59  88 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELL         53  79  54  89 /  30   5  10  10
GREAT BEND      54  80  54  89 /  20   5  10  10
SALINA          56  78  55  86 /  40  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       57  79  55  87 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     61  81  61  87 /  60  20  10  10
CHANUTE         61  80  60  86 /  60  20  10  10
IOLA            61  79  60  86 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

COX/COX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-091200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF AN
ELLSWORTH TO GREAT BEND LINE THROUGH 9 PM. THESE STORMS WILL
GENERALLY MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH. THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER, A
SMALL TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG A BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM
SALINA TO LYONS. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
MOVE EAST DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN ENTER THE FORECAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE PLAINS. AT THIS TIME, IT IS
TOO FAR OUT TO SPECULATE ON THE SEVERITY OF THE STORMS, SO PLEASE
CHECK BACK FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KETCHAM/LAWSON/COX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
706 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ069-082-083-090100-
BUTLER-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-
706 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BUTLER...KINGMAN AND SEDGWICK COUNTIES...

AT 702 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GOESSEL
TO NEAR HUTCHINSON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

IF THESE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER, THEY COULD AFFECT THE AREA AFTER
SUNSET. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG AN AREA
TO THE WEST OF WICHITA, WHERE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL INTERSECT
THE DRY LINE. IF STORMS DEVELOP, THEY COULD ALSO AFFECT THE AREA
THIS EVENING.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN KINGMAN...SEDGWICK AND WESTERN BUTLER COUNTIES...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED
IF THE STORMS MOVE INTO THE AREA, OR ADDITIONAL STORMS RAPIDLY
DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF SEVERE WEATHER
THREATENS.

/DARMOFAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
712 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     HAIL             MOUNDRIDGE              38.20N 97.52W
05/08/2005  2.00 INCH        MCPHERSON          KS   PUBLIC

            KSN STORM SPOTTER REPORTED DAMAGE TO CARS.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
723 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     HAIL             2 E HESSTON             38.14N 97.39W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        HARVEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
737 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 PM     HAIL             8 WNW NEWTON            38.09N 97.48W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        HARVEY             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
746 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     HAIL             4 E HUTCHINSON          38.07N 97.84W
05/08/2005  0.88 INCH        RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
753 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     HAIL             5 SSE BUHLER            38.08N 97.74W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

BRW