Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

June 5, 2005Van Buren County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 5, 2005, 4:46 PM EDT for Van Buren County, Michigan. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 5, 2005, 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC)
Expired: Jun 5, 2005, 5:13 PM EDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 5, 1:15 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -172 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1129 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGRR 052047
SVRGRR
MIC159-052145-
/O.NEW.KGRR.SV.W.0028.050605T2046Z-050605T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
446 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS
HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  VAN BUREN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* THIS WARNING EXTENDS THE PREVIOUS WARNING FOR VAN BUREN COUNTY.

* AT 441 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF DECATUR.  THIS STORM WAS 
  LOCATED NEAR DECATUR...OR
  ABOUT 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF DOWAGIAC...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TEAPOT DOME AND LAWTON AROUND 500 PM EDT
  PAW PAW AROUND 505 PM EDT
  MATTAWAN AND GLENDALE AROUND 510 PM EDT
  ALMENA AND ARMSTRONG CORNERS AROUND 515 PM EDT
  PINE GROVE AND GOBLES AROUND 525 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4214 8613 4223 8604 4226 8602 4242 8589
      4242 8578 4215 8578 4208 8587 4207 8614
      4210 8616

$$

MJS

MJS

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KGRR 052055
SVSGRR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
455 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

MIC159-052145-
/O.CON.KGRR.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-050605T2145Z/
VAN BUREN MI-
455 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VAN BUREN
COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

AT 453 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MENTHA TO DECATUR...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MATTAWAN BY 500 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WHICH HAVE 
BLOWN DOWN SEVERAL TREES ACROSS THE COUNTY. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE 
A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MICHIGAN.

LAT...LON 4214 8613 4224 8608 4226 8602 4241 8598
      4242 8578 4209 8578 4208 8587 4207 8614
      4210 8616

$$

LAURENS

000 
WWUS53 KGRR 052113
SVSGRR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
513 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

MIC159-052123-
/O.CAN.KGRR.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-050605T2145Z/
VAN BUREN MI-
513 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR VAN BUREN COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO
LONGER SEVERE. THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MICHIGAN.

LAT...LON 4214 8613 4224 8608 4226 8602 4241 8598
      4242 8578 4209 8578 4208 8587 4207 8614
      4210 8616

$$

LAURENS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 5, 1:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 1:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
140 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

.SHORT TERM...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE ZONES.  SEVERE WEATHER A GOOD POSSIBILITY
THIS EVENING.  LOTS OF CAPE...MORE THAN 2000 J/KG AND NO CAP.  A
DECENT WAVE IS APPROACHING FROM ILLINOIS.  THIS FEATURE IS BECOMING
PERPENDICULAR TO THIS WIND FIELDS APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN FEATURE
HEADING IN OUR DIRECTION.  THIS WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT HERE IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN FOR THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS ARRIVES FOR MONDAY AS THE FRONT SHIFT
SOUTH OF THE REGION.  THIS FRONT THEN RETURNS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM...
OUR PREVIOUS EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN EXCELLENT
SHAPE SO VERY LITTLE MODIFICATION WAS NECESSARY. AGREE WITH MID
SHIFT FORECASTER THAT MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS DEFINITELY TRENDING
WARMER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. CORRESPONDINGLY WITH INCREASED
INSTABILITY AND SFC HEATING AND WITH A BOUNDARY MEANDERING ACROSS
THE AREA WE AGREE WITH THE MENTION OF A CHC OF SHOWERS AND TSTORMS
DAILY AT THIS POINT.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 800 PM EDT
ENTIRE
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

MJS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 5, 1:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-061000-
ALLEGAN-BARRY-CALHOUN-CLARE-CLINTON-EATON-GRATIOT-INGHAM-IONIA-
ISABELLA-JACKSON-KALAMAZOO-KENT-LAKE-MASON-MECOSTA-MONTCALM-MUSKEGON-
NEWAYGO-OCEANA-OSCEOLA-OTTAWA-VAN BUREN-
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL-HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL
OF THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS CONTINUED THE ENTIRE AREA IN A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS. A COLD FRONT IS SITUATED FROM SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...SOUTHWARD
TO IOWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL PROGRESS EAST INTO
WISCONSIN BY EVENING. WARM...MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS THIS
AFTERNOON A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD
OF IT ACROSS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...INTO ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. A
DISTURBANCE COMING OUT OF ILLINOIS COULD ENHANCE THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE GREATEST
LIKELIHOOD OF STORMS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
EVENING. ALTHOUGH...STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANY TIME THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

THE GREATEST THREAT FROM STORMS THIS LOOKS TO BE STRONG DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN
ADDITION...LARGE HAIL WILL BE A POSSIBILITY. THE STRONGEST STORMS
COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF IN DIAMETER.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. FINALLY...ROTATION
MAY OCCUR IS STORMS...SO TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER.

THE SEVERITY OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL HINGE UPON
THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER LEFT OVER FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS...AS WELL
AS WHERE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FOCUS STORM DEVELOPMENT. LATER OUTLOOKS
WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION AND SEVERITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WARM...MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER
THROUGH THE AREA...SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IF YOU
ARE A SPOTTER AND STORMS MOVE THROUGH YOUR LOCATION...PLEASE SEND IN
REPORTS THROUGH THE 800 PHONE NUMBER...OR THE ESPOTTER WEBPAGE.

DUKE MJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
335 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             WYOMING                 42.89N 85.70W
06/05/2005  0.75 INCH        KENT               MI   PUBLIC

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:56 PM EDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
356 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     HAIL             GRAND RAPIDS            42.96N 85.66W
06/05/2005  0.75 INCH        KENT               MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            1/2 INCH TO 3/4 INCH DIAMETER HAIL. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED
            AROUND 60 MPH ALSO.

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:57 PM EDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
357 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             GRAND RAPIDS            42.96N 85.66W
06/05/2005  1.00 INCH        KENT               MI   PUBLIC

            NORTHWEST GRAND RAPIDS

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 4:08 PM EDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
408 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     HAIL             14 ESE ALMA             43.30N 84.40W
06/05/2005  1.00 INCH        GRATIOT            MI   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO 1.10 INCHES IN DIAMETER

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 4:29 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
429 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRAND RAPIDS            42.96N 85.66W
06/05/2005                   KENT               MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE ON A HOUSE NEAR M-21 AND THE EAST BELTLINE

0355 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE ITHACA             43.36N 84.51W
06/05/2005                   GRATIOT            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER ESTIMATES 15 TO 20 LARGE TREES DOWN IN THE
            VICINITY OF THE INTERSECTION OF WISNER AND TYLER. TIME OF
            DAMAGE ESTIMATED.

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 4:34 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
434 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             2 W ADA                 42.95N 85.53W
06/05/2005  0.88 INCH        KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

NJJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 5, 12:52 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		38 min
Jun 5, 2:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Allegan, Barry, Kent	55 min
Jun 5, 2:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Gratiot	61 min
Jun 5, 2:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia	48 min
Jun 5, 2:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ingham	47 min
Jun 5, 3:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Montcalm	29 min
Jun 5, 3:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Clinton, Gratiot	54 min
Jun 5, 3:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Kent	71 min
Jun 5, 3:38 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		67 min
Jun 5, 3:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Van Buren	64 min
Jun 5, 3:47 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Gratiot	28 min
Jun 5, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Allegan	67 min
Jun 5, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia, Montcalm	78 min
Jun 5, 4:44 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		2 hr
Jun 5, 5:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Kent	45 min
Jun 5, 5:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo	63 min
Jun 5, 5:16 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Montcalm	13 min
Jun 5, 5:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Gratiot	67 min
Jun 5, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia	57 min
Jun 5, 5:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Eaton	40 min
Jun 5, 5:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Clinton	64 min
Jun 5, 6:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo	38 min
Jun 5, 6:14 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Clinton	48 min
Jun 5, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Eaton	61 min
Jun 5, 6:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Gratiot	41 min
Jun 5, 6:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Jackson	56 min
Jun 5, 6:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ingham	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.