Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

June 5, 2005Van Buren County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 5, 2005, 3:41 PM EDT for Van Buren County, Michigan. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 5, 2005, 3:41 PM EDT (19:41 UTC)
Expired: Jun 5, 2005, 4:45 PM EDT
In force: 64 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 5, 1:15 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -172 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1129 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGRR 051941
SVRGRR
MIC159-052045-
/O.NEW.KGRR.SV.W.0025.050605T1941Z-050605T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
341 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS
HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  VAN BUREN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 336 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  HARTFORD...OR ABOUT NEAR BENTON HEIGHTS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TOQUIN...HARTFORD AND PALISADES PARK AROUND 355 PM EDT
  COVERT AND MCDONALD AROUND 400 PM EDT
  BANGOR AROUND 410 PM EDT
  BREEDSVILLE...LACOTA AND KIBBIE AROUND 415 PM EDT
  GRAND JUNCTION AROUND 420 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF A NICKELS AND WINDS GREATER THAN 60 MILES AN
HOUR ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4228 8634 4232 8634 4242 8624 4242 8580
      4213 8623 4224 8622 4225 8623 4225 8637

$$

MJS

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KGRR 052029
SVSGRR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
429 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

MIC159-052045-
/O.CON.KGRR.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-050605T2045Z/
VAN BUREN MI-
429 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VAN BUREN
COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

AT 428 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM GOBLES TO DECATUR...AND MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 
MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ALMENA...MENTHA AND LAWTON BY 435 PM EDT
  MATTAWAN BY 440 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MICHIGAN.

LAT...LON 4232 8634 4234 8631 4235 8633 4241 8630
      4242 8628 4242 8578 4208 8578 4207 8623
      4224 8622 4225 8637

$$

LAURENS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 5, 1:40 PM EDT, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 1:40 PM EDT, 2 hours 1 minute before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
140 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

.SHORT TERM...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE ZONES.  SEVERE WEATHER A GOOD POSSIBILITY
THIS EVENING.  LOTS OF CAPE...MORE THAN 2000 J/KG AND NO CAP.  A
DECENT WAVE IS APPROACHING FROM ILLINOIS.  THIS FEATURE IS BECOMING
PERPENDICULAR TO THIS WIND FIELDS APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN FEATURE
HEADING IN OUR DIRECTION.  THIS WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT HERE IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN FOR THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS ARRIVES FOR MONDAY AS THE FRONT SHIFT
SOUTH OF THE REGION.  THIS FRONT THEN RETURNS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM...
OUR PREVIOUS EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN EXCELLENT
SHAPE SO VERY LITTLE MODIFICATION WAS NECESSARY. AGREE WITH MID
SHIFT FORECASTER THAT MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS DEFINITELY TRENDING
WARMER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. CORRESPONDINGLY WITH INCREASED
INSTABILITY AND SFC HEATING AND WITH A BOUNDARY MEANDERING ACROSS
THE AREA WE AGREE WITH THE MENTION OF A CHC OF SHOWERS AND TSTORMS
DAILY AT THIS POINT.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 800 PM EDT
ENTIRE
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

MJS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 5, 1:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-061000-
ALLEGAN-BARRY-CALHOUN-CLARE-CLINTON-EATON-GRATIOT-INGHAM-IONIA-
ISABELLA-JACKSON-KALAMAZOO-KENT-LAKE-MASON-MECOSTA-MONTCALM-MUSKEGON-
NEWAYGO-OCEANA-OSCEOLA-OTTAWA-VAN BUREN-
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL-HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL
OF THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS CONTINUED THE ENTIRE AREA IN A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS. A COLD FRONT IS SITUATED FROM SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...SOUTHWARD
TO IOWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL PROGRESS EAST INTO
WISCONSIN BY EVENING. WARM...MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS THIS
AFTERNOON A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD
OF IT ACROSS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...INTO ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. A
DISTURBANCE COMING OUT OF ILLINOIS COULD ENHANCE THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE GREATEST
LIKELIHOOD OF STORMS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
EVENING. ALTHOUGH...STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANY TIME THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

THE GREATEST THREAT FROM STORMS THIS LOOKS TO BE STRONG DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN
ADDITION...LARGE HAIL WILL BE A POSSIBILITY. THE STRONGEST STORMS
COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF IN DIAMETER.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. FINALLY...ROTATION
MAY OCCUR IS STORMS...SO TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER.

THE SEVERITY OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL HINGE UPON
THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER LEFT OVER FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS...AS WELL
AS WHERE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FOCUS STORM DEVELOPMENT. LATER OUTLOOKS
WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION AND SEVERITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WARM...MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER
THROUGH THE AREA...SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IF YOU
ARE A SPOTTER AND STORMS MOVE THROUGH YOUR LOCATION...PLEASE SEND IN
REPORTS THROUGH THE 800 PHONE NUMBER...OR THE ESPOTTER WEBPAGE.

DUKE MJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:03 PM EDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
303 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SARANAC                 42.93N 85.21W
06/05/2005                   IONIA              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN NEAR M-21 AND HAWLEY HIGHWAY.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0258 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S MASON               42.55N 84.44W
06/05/2005                   INGHAM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:07 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
307 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW LOWELL            42.96N 85.36W
06/05/2005                   KENT               MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            18-24 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON BAILEY ROAD WEST OF
            LINCOLN LAKE AVE.

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:22 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
322 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW LOWELL            42.95N 85.40W
06/05/2005                   KENT               MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE LARGE DIAMETER TREES DOWN AND BLOCKING THE
            ROADWAY NEAR INTERSECTION OF PARNELL AND BENNETT IN
            VERGENNES TOWNSHIP

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SARANAC                 42.93N 85.21W
06/05/2005                   IONIA              MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ONE 10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN NEAR HAWLEY AND POTTER.
            ONE 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN NEAR JEFFERSON AND WELCH.

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:32 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
332 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HAIL             5 SE BRECKENRIDGE       43.36N 84.41W
06/05/2005  0.88 INCH        GRATIOT            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:32 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME OF EVENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
332 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             5 SE BRECKENRIDGE       43.36N 84.41W
06/05/2005  0.88 INCH        GRATIOT            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

NJJ

Local storm report, Jun 5, 3:35 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
335 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             WYOMING                 42.89N 85.70W
06/05/2005  0.75 INCH        KENT               MI   PUBLIC

&&

NJJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 5, 12:52 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		38 min
Jun 5, 2:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Allegan, Barry, Kent	55 min
Jun 5, 2:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Gratiot	61 min
Jun 5, 2:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia	48 min
Jun 5, 2:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ingham	47 min
Jun 5, 3:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Montcalm	29 min
Jun 5, 3:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Clinton, Gratiot	54 min
Jun 5, 3:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Kent	71 min
Jun 5, 3:38 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		67 min
Jun 5, 3:47 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Gratiot	28 min
Jun 5, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Allegan	67 min
Jun 5, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia, Montcalm	78 min
Jun 5, 4:44 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	GRR		2 hr
Jun 5, 4:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Van Buren	27 min
Jun 5, 5:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Kent	45 min
Jun 5, 5:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo	63 min
Jun 5, 5:16 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Montcalm	13 min
Jun 5, 5:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Gratiot	67 min
Jun 5, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ionia	57 min
Jun 5, 5:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Eaton	40 min
Jun 5, 5:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Clinton	64 min
Jun 5, 6:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo	38 min
Jun 5, 6:14 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	GRR	Clinton	48 min
Jun 5, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Eaton	61 min
Jun 5, 6:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Gratiot	41 min
Jun 5, 6:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Jackson	56 min
Jun 5, 6:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GRR	Ingham	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.