Flash Flood Warning 39, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 091532
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1029 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

TXC133-091730-
EASTLAND TX-
1029 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
EASTLAND COUNTY...

AT 1027 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM NORTHWEST OF 
CISCO...TO NEAR EASTLAND...TO RISING STAR. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 
15 MPH.

RAINFALL OF UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR IS STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE 
STRONGER STORMS. RAINFALL OF UP TO 2 INCHES HAS FALLEN NORTHWEST OF 
CISCO THIS MORNING. WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AREA RECEIVED 
YESTERDAY...THE POTENTIAL FOR RUNOFF AND FLOODING REMAINS HIGH.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. LESS THAN THREE FEET
OF OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN FORT
WORTH.

LAT...LON 3210 9910 3214 9884 3250 9886 3251 9913

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 091608
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1106 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

TXC133-091730-
EASTLAND TX-
1106 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
EASTLAND COUNTY...

AT 1104 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING NEAR AND WEST 
OF CISCO. WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN COVERED MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA. 
MOVEMENT OF THE RAIN WAS SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE OVER WESTERN 
EASTLAND COUNTY. THIS RAIN...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL 
EARLIER THIS MORNING...WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF RUNOFF AND 
FLOODING.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. LESS THAN THREE FEET
OF OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN FORT
WORTH.

LAT...LON 3210 9910 3214 9884 3250 9886 3251 9913

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 091727
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1225 PM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

TXC133-091800-
EASTLAND TX-
1225 PM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN EASTLAND COUNTY WILL EXPIRE 
AT 1230 PM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAVE WEAKENED
AND ARE NO LONGER PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN.

HOWEVER...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN 
EASTLAND COUNTY. SOME RESIDUAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING 
AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND UNDERPASSES MAY STILL BE OCCURRING. 
MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING IN THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3210 9910 3214 9884 3250 9886 3251 9913

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
630 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

.AVIATION...
BRUNT OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE LOCATED SW OF THE METROPLEX TODAY
NEAR THE CORE OF THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW.  WILL CARRY PREVAILING
THUNDER AND RAIN FOR KACT THROUGH THE MORNING WITH TEMPO IFR.  VCSH
SHOULD COVER THE METROPLEX SITES THIS MORNING UNTIL HEATING RESULTS
IN DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION.  BEST APPROACH AT
THIS TIME IS TO UTILIZE VCTS AND NEXT SHIFT SHOULD HAVE A BETTER
IDEA ON BETTER TIMING.  AFTER 23Z HAVE THUNDER ENDING IN ALL TAFS
WITH NO CONCERNS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  TR/92

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION...ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK/WARM-CORE UPPER LOW OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS...CONTINUES TO AFFECT MAINLY THE SOUTHWESTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING.  THUS...WILL CONTINUE TREND OF
HIGHEST MORNING POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ZONES.  SHORT TERM
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE UPPER LOW PROGGED TO MOVE
SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  GIVEN THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION YESTERDAY...AND
IN ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY...WE HAVE ISSUED
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
BRECKENRIDGE...TO STEPHENVILLE AND WACO.  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE ACTIVITY TODAY...AS STORM MOTION VECTORS ARE
SMALL AND SOME TRAINING WILL LIKELY OCCUR.  RAINFALL WILL ONCE AGAIN
BE MORE ISOLATED AWAY FROM THE UPPER LOW...MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA.  HOWEVER...ENHANCED CLOUD COVER WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...EVEN IN THIS REGION.

ANOTHER ROUND OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT...BUT
THE UPPER LOW SHOULD BE JUST SOUTH OF THE KFWD FORECAST AREA BY THIS
TIME.  WILL PLACE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BUT MAINTAIN VERY LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AREAS.  THE UPPER LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO SHEAR AND WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING APPROACHES FROM
BOTH THE WEST AND THE EAST.  HOWEVER...WILL NEED TO MAINTAIN SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS GIVEN LINGERING BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAK LIFT.
DRY CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR IN STORE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH
INCREASING SUBSIDENCE/DRYING ALOFT AND LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL LARGE
SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION LENDING CREDENCE TO THIS
IDEA.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR
100...BEFORE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADS BACK ACROSS THE
AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.  MEDIUM RANGE GFSLR/ECMWF GUIDANCE
STILL DEPICTS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...AND THIS FEATURE SHOULD BRING AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA BY MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  92  73  95  75 /  50  30  20  10
WACO, TX              87  72  92  74 /  70  40  20  10
PARIS, TX             94  72  96  72 /  30  20  20  10
DENTON, TX            93  72  95  74 /  50  20  20  10
MCKINNEY, TX          93  72  95  74 /  30  20  20  10
DALLAS, TX            92  73  94  75 /  50  30  20  10
TERRELL, TX           92  72  94  74 /  50  30  20  10
CORSICANA, TX         90  72  92  74 /  50  30  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            85  72  91  72 /  70  40  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

65/DD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-101100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
515 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM GENERALLY ALONG AND TO
THE SOUTHWEST OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM BRECKENRIDGE...TO
STEPHENVILLE...TO WACO...AND TO TEMPLE.  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES AN
HOUR OVER ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TODAY...WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE AND
GREATEST RISK OF FLOODING OCCURRING IN THE FLOOD WATCH AREA.  THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL.  AS ALWAYS...ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY BEFORE DRY WEATHER SETTLES IN LATE IN THE
WEEK.  THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY
EVENING AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST.  STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE FROM ANY OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
VERY LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY.

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
742 AM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 AM     FLASH FLOOD      KILLEEN                 31.10N  97.72W
08/09/2005                   BELL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER AND VEHICLES STRANDED ACROSS CITY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
759 AM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0753 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HARKER HEIGHTS          31.06N  97.65W
08/09/2005                   BELL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING IN AND AROUND HARKER HEIGHTS (E OF
            KILLEEN). HWY 190 UNDERWATER IN SEVERAL SPOTS AND
            BARRICADED SEVERAL PLACES. 2 HOMES INDUNDATED BY HIGH
            WATER AND EVACUATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
811 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

TXZ142-156-091345-

LAMPASAS-MILLS-
811 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 811 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SCALLORN...OR 18 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LAMPASAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ADAMSVILLE...CASTOR...
KEMPNER...SCALLORN AND STAR.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
828 AM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GATESVILLE              31.44N  97.73W
08/09/2005                   CORYELL            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. MOST ROADS ARE
            THE TYPICAL FLOOD PRONE ONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
828 AM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COPPERS COVE            31.12N  97.90W
08/09/2005                   CORYELL            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. MOST ROADS ARE
            THE TYPICAL FLOOD PRONE ONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
922 AM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HARKER HEIGHTS         31.06N  97.65W
08/09/2005                   BELL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD CLOSURE IN HARKER HEIGHTS 600 BLOCK FRONTIER