Storm Warning 116, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 051202
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE NEAR KODIAK AS 983
TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT WEAKENS TO 991
MB WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-060200-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-060200-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-060200-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-060200-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-060200-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-060200-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-060200-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-060200-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-060200-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 052315
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 980 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES TO
OVER KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEAKENS TO 991 MB. A
SECONDARY 990 MB LOW MOVES TO 340 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 


$$

PKZ120-061400-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KTS BY MORNING. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061400-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061400-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061400-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-061400-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061400-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061400-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE  WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061400-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061400-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

.DISCUSSION...
.500MB...CENTER OVER THE WESTERN MAINLAND DRIFTS WEST TO OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GENERALLY
MAINTAINS INTENSITY. THIS CENTER WILL CONTINUE AS THE PIVOT POINT FOR
WEAKER WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC AND BERING SEA. 5110M
CENTER OVER THE NE PACIFIC MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WED
AM..WEAKENS...AND COMES IN PHASE WITH MAIN TROUGH. RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA TODAY SHIFTS EAST AND WEAKENS. 5150M CENTER WEST
OF KAMCHATKA MOVES NEAR SHEMYA WED.

.SURFACE EAST...THE ETA/UKMET SOLUTIONS APPEAR TO HAVE A BETTER
HANDLE ON SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES AND WILL USED FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE. 970MB CENTER NEAR 49N 148W THIS MORNING WAS A COUPLE OF MBS
DEEPER THAN MODEL INITIALIZATIONS. FORECAST TRACK TAKES CENTER JUST
SE OF KODIAK ISLAND EARLY WED AM WERE CENTER BECOMES QSTNRY. EXPECT A
WEAKER SECONDARY CENTER WILL LIKELY FORM TO NW OF PARENT LOW AND
ELONGATE THE TROUGH AXIS TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. OCCLUDE FRONT MOVES TO
JUST EAST OF KODIAK AND TO JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST EARLY TUE AM.
THIS SHOULD ABOUT THE TIME THE WINDS PEAK FOR COASTAL LOCALS. FRONT
MOVES INLAND TUE AND GRADIENTS SHOULD RELAX SOME. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COASTS WILL START AS SNOW BUT BECOME
MIXED OR SHIFT TO RAIN TUE. COASTAL LOCALS AND SE EXPOSURES OF
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL RECEIVE THE BRUNT OF PRECIPITATION.

.SURFACE WEST...GFS MODEL IN GENERAL WILL BE USED FOR SYNOPTIC SCALE
PATTERN. THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL CONTINUE DRY THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH GENERALLY NORTH WINDS. EXPECT SOME MOISTURE WILL CREEP INTO
BRISTOL BAY TUE AND TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TUE NIGHT/WED AS
WEAKENING OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE GULF SKIPS ACROSS THE RANGE. MID
980S LOW NEAR 47N 167E SHOULD DEEPEN INTO THE LOWER 970S AS IT MOVES
TO SE OF KAMCHATKA TUE MORNING. CENTER BECOMES STACKED AFTER THIS AND
WEAKENS. SAT PICTURE INDICATES THE JET STREAM IS AROUND 50N OVER THE
NW PACIFIC. THIS WILL TEND TO STRETCH OUT FRONTAL TROUGH AS IT MOVES
EAST AS A TRIPLE POINT OR SERIES OF WAVES DEVELOP AND MOVE SOUTH OF
THE CHAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE LATEST MARINE FORECAST PACKAGES.

RMC APR 05