Storm Warning 114, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041411 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
600 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

UPDATED AREA 3B

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM COOK INLET TO KODIAK ISLAND WILL
DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 971 MB LOW NEAR 600 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 135 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE
EVENING AS 982 MB THEN DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. A 976 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP
125 NM EAST OF KODIAK TUE MORNING AND MOVE NEAR KODIAK A 980 MB TUE
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-050200-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050200-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050200-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050200-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050200-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050200-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050200-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050200-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050200-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 042312
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 972 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES TO
120 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO 990 MB WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-051400-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 45. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-051400-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO N 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT... N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-051400-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-051400-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-051400-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-051400-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-051400-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-051400-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-051400-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1057 AM ADT SUN APR 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW OVER SEWARD PENINSULA IS QUITE COLD WITH NOME
500 MB 12Z TEMP AT -41C. SURFACE TEMPS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN ALASKA
ARE BELOW ZERO THIS SUNDAY MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND SOME
AREAS OF PATCHY FOG, LIKE AROUND KING SALMON AND EGEGIK. AREAS EAST
OF THE ALASKA RANGE SEEING MORE CLOUDS IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WITH ALSO SOME SUN MIXED IN. FLURRIES AND LIGHT SNOW HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED AT KODIAK AND OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS. AREA OF MOISTURE DRIFTING EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND APPEARS ON
SAT IMAGERY TO BE ENHANCING OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF. MIDDLETON RADAR
SHOWS WEAK ECHOES DRIFTING NE SO THE KENAI PENINSULA AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND MAY GET SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES SUN
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING AS A SERIES OF WEAK IMPULSES MOVE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF.
UPPER LOW STILL FORECAST TO DROP SOUTHWARD WITH THE MAIN CENTER OVER
MARINE AREA 5A AND A TROF AXIS EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST
COAST MONDAY NIGHT. AGAIN THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP AREAS EAST OF THE
ALASKA RANGE UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHEAST FLOW AT
THE HIGHER LEVELS WHICH MEANS ARCTIC AIR WILL STAY ALONG AND WEST OF
THE RANGE WITH THE MAIN PUSH SOUTH ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA.

SOME MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MAY SEEP INTO COOK INLET SUSITNA VALLEY
TONIGHT WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOWER MINIMUMS MONDAY MORNING THAN WHAT
WAS SEEN THIS MORNING. THIS ALSO MAY INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SOME
LIGHT OVER RUNNING SNOWS LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING AS MOISTURE
TRIES TO WORK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

STILL FOLLOWING THE GFS SOLUTION OF THE DEVELOPING LOW NOW AROUND 48N
160W. 974 LOW CENTER MOVES TO 55N 145W MON NIGHT. IF CORRECT GALES
AND POSSIBLE MINIMUM STORMS ARE A GOOD BET FOR MARINE AREAS 3A AND
2B. SNOW AND WIND THAT BEGIN ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND MON EVENING
INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR POSSIBLE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS IF THE TEMPERATURES STAY COLD ENOUGH. TUESDAY NIGHT
CONDITIONS IMPROVE AND TEMPERATUERS RISE AS THE LOW CENTER BACKS TO
THE EAST SIDE OF THE ISLAND.

SNOWY AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH MONDAY. AFTER THAT LOOK FOR A BREAK AS A
RIDGE OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING ADVANCES EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE NEXT
STORM. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BRING MAX GALES BACK INTO AREA 13 BY MONDAY
EVENING WITH A WEAKENED FRONT REACHING UNMAK ISLAND WED EVENING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
MARINE...GALE AREAS 5B..12A..13.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

PERCY APR 05