Small Craft Advisory 938, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS THOUGH IT APPEARS
THAT THE TRACK OF THE LOW ENTERING THE GULF TONIGHT. THE GFS
CONTINUES TO HAVE THE MOST CONSISTENT SOLUTION OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS
SO IT IS THE MODEL OF THE DAY. CONFIDENCE IN THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE MODERATE TO LOW.

THE MODERATE LOW 300 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA TOWARD YAKUTAT TUESDAY EVENING THEN
WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN CANADA TUESDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE WIND AND
RAIN FROM THIS STORM WILL MOVE OVER CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAND
POINT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN TURN NORTH INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
THURSDAY. WIND AND RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
THEN SPREAD TO KODIAK TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE REST OF THE GULF AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120, 130, 132 AND 138.
         GALE 125, 140, 141, 150 AND 155.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM NOV 05