Small Craft Advisory 185, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST SUN FEB 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN MAINLAND HOLDS THROUGH
MID WEEK AND CONTINUES A WEAK SW FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MAINLAND. UPPER FLOW SHOULD CARRY ANY MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF EAST OF 150W. BY THU...SHORT WAVE MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTHERN GULF. IN RESPONSE...SURFACE CENTER MOVES TO WESTERN GULF AND
SPREADS MOISTURE FURTHER WEST. IN THE SHORT TERM...EXPECT PATCHY
NIGHT AND AM FOG TO BE THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERNS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL.

OUT WEST...WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE DELTA SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND SHOULD
CONTINUE THRU WED. EXPECT PATCHY FOG...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTS OF
BRISTOL BAY TO BE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN. SAT PIC THIS MORNING SHOWS
970S MB LOW NEAR 46N 170E. THE GFS INITIALLY HAS BEST HANDLE ON
MOVEMENT CARRYING LOW FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUS CENTERS. MESO
ETA/GFS BLEND LOOKS BEST BEYOND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 12B,13A,AND 13B.

RMC FEB 05