Gale Warning 267, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 010030 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

CORRECTED AREA 3B

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST MONDAY EVENING. A 989 MB LOW MOVES TO 430 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-011500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-011500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-011500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-011500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-011500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-011500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-011500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.

.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-011500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST MON FEB 28 2005

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN STATES WITH ANOTHER OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA AND THE BERING SEA. CLOSED UPPER LOWS ARE FOUND OVER
KAMCHATKA AND AT 45N 145W. AT THE SURFACE...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
RESIDES OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WITH SATPIX SHOWING AN EMBEDDED LOW
APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST WITH LIGHT SNOW AND FOG. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING HAS CAUSED A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE
ALEUTIANS TO ELONGATE ALONG MUCH OF THE CHAIN.

MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT. THE FORECASTS THIS MORNING FOLLOW THE
GFS SOLUTION WITH MESOETA INFLUENCE.

IN THE WEST...THE ELONGATED TROUGH ALONG THE ALEUTIANS...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE BERING HIGH...WILL BRING EAST GALES TO THE
BERING AND PORTIONS OF THE ALEUTIANS INTO EARLY WED...WITH WEST WINDS
SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH DURING
THIS TIME. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL HAVE SOME SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN
PORTIONS...BUT THE HIGH SHOULD LIMIT PRECIP NORTH OF BRISTOL BAY. ON
WED MODELS ARE A BIT SLOPPY...BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THAT THE TROUGH
SLIDES EAST WED AND MERGES WITH A FAST MOVING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WED
NIGHT WELL SOUTH OF COLD BAY. THE INTERIOR STAYS COLD AND DRY WHILE
SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST ALONG THE CHAIN AND AKPEN.

IN THE EAST...THE LAST INCURSION OF MOISTURE WILL BE TODAY AS THE
EMBEDDED LOW MOVES INLAND NEAR CORDOVA. SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD END LATER
TODAY ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND TONIGHT...LEAVING AMOUNT OF DAYTIME
SUNSHINE AND NIGHTTIME FOG AS THE PRESSING QUESTIONS SOUTH AND EAST
OF THE ALASKA RANGE INTO WED. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD THROUGH
THAT PERIOD AS WELL. AS THE ALEUTIAN TROUGH SLIDE EAST ON WED IT WILL
BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE COAST WED NIGHT.

IN THE EXTENDED...THE MERGING SYSTEM CONSOLIDATES SOUTH OF COLD BAY
ON THU. IT MOVES NORTH AND BRINGS GALES AND SNOW TO THE ALEUTIANS AND
AK PEN THU NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE SPINNING ITSELF OUT IN THE
CENTRAL BERING.

FARTHER EAST LITTLE HAPPENS BESIDES COASTAL AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK WHEN THE LOW APPROACHING THE AKPEN BRINGS
RAINY ONSHORE FLOW INTO KODIAK FRI AND WARMING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE CHUGACH FOR THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER COLD
TEMPS WILL PERSIST AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. FOR
NOW IT LOOKS AS IF THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO
THE ALASKA RANGE FOR ANY MUSHERS HEADED IN THAT DIRECTION NEXT
WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE WARNING 12A 12B 13A 13B
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 14 15
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS FEB 05