Gale Warning 83, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 141313 CCA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
410 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

CORRECTED AREA 3A 

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER NW CANADA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH SUN. 
A SERIES OF MODERATE LOWS WILL DEVELOP AND REMAIN S OF THE GULF
THROUGH SUN. 
$$

PKZ120-150300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-150300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND FOG. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-150300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-150300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-150300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
410 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-150300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-150300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-150300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. ELSEWHERE NORTHEAST WIND
20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-150300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 150026
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
EAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-151500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-151500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-151500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-151500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-151500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT WEST OF AMATULI ISLAND. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-151500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-151500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-151500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

..GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...WIND NE 15 KT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND NE 30 KT CLAM GULCH
SOUTH. SEAS 4 FT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND 9 FT CLAM GULCH SOUTH. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...WIND NE 20 KT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND NE 35 KT CLAM GULCH
SOUTH. SEAS 5 FT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND 11 FT CLAM GULCH SOUTH.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...WIND NE 20 KT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND NE 30 KT CLAM
GULCH SOUTH. SEAS 5 FT NORTH OF CLAM GULCH AND 11 FT CLAM GULCH
SOUTH. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-151500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 14 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1130 AM AST THU JAN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT.  FINER RESOLUTION MODELS
FORECAST A BIT STRONGER TROUGH WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE.  THESE
MODELS...THE ETA AND MESO ETA...APPEAR TO BE ACCOUNTING FOR SHORT
WAVE ENERGY MOVING NORTHWARD INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THEN ROTATING
AROUND THE RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR.  THIS SOLUTION LOOKS
REASONABLE AND IS PREFERRED AS IT EXPLAINS THE SNOW SPREADING NORTH
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY MOISTURE RICH TRAJECTORY
AT LOW LEVELS OVERRUNNING THE ARCTIC AIRMASS.

EAST OF THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGE WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW IS OVERRUNNING
A DEEP LAYER OF ARCTIC AIR RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW OVER
COOK INLET.  THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

EXPECT THE SNOW TO CONTINUE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THEN END FROM THE SOUTH FRIDAY.

THE MODELS BRING ANOTHER BAND OF PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA
AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.  AS TEMPERATURES MODERATE
EXPECT RAIN OVER BRISTOL BAY...KODIAK ISLAND AND SOUTHERN COOK INLET
WITH SNOW TO THE NORTH.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY PKZ140 180 185
         GALE    PKZ150 155 170 172 175 176 180 185 410

RHH JAN 05