Gale Warning 825, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 172031 AAA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

UPDATED AREAS 120 125 138 140 141. 

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND BY MON AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY
MON NIGHT. THE FRONT DISSIPATES OVER THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE 
TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-180200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-180200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-180200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...EAST WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-180200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-180200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-180200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-180200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-180200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-180200-
KACHEMAK BAY
1215 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SUN OCT 16 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE BIG STORY TODAY IS AN INTENSE STORM DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WHICH IS HEADED TOWARD NUNIVAK ISLAND ON THE SOUTHWEST
COAST. FIRST - THE WINDS AROUND THIS STORM ARE LIKELY TO PUSH WATER
LEVELS UP TO FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST DURING TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE MONDAY. NEXT - AS THIS LOW CENTER CROSSES 60N A PRETTY STRONG
TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WIND WILL DEVELOP FOR EAST
ANCHORAGE. THIRD - THIS IS A VERY WET SYSTEM WITH A GOOD SUBTROPICAL
CONNECTION THAT WILL CAUSE A LOT OF RAIN FOR MOST OF OUR TWO HUGE
FORECAST AREAS. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF AND COOK INLET ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG JET PUSHES THIS
SYSTEM QUICKLY ACROSS THE BERING SEA. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME
NEGATIVELY TILTED AS THE FRONT DRIVES ACROSS THE GULF MONDAY NIGHT.
AFTER THAT THE WHOLE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WILL BE UNDER A BROAD
AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLIES. LOOK FOR THE JET TO ENHANCE
DEVELOPMENT ON A STRONG LOW WHICH WILL END UP THROUGH BRISTOL BAY WED
NIGHT WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG CHINOOK WIND FOR ANCHORAGE
THEN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH ZONES 155 AND 161.
MARINE...STORM 160 172 179 180 185.
         GALES 120 130 132 138 150 155 165 170 171 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JC OCT 05