Gale Warning 623, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 062343
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOW ON THIS FRONT NEAR KISKA WILL DEEPEN TO 995 MB
BY EARLY SUN MORNING. THIS LOW WILL DEEPEN TO 989 MB SUN NIGHT JUST
OFF ATTU.  
$$

PKZ150-071400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-071400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-071400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-071400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-071400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-071400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-071400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-071400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-071400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-071400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-071400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-071400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1150 AM ADT SAT AUG 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ANALYSIS - THE STRONG UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ALONG 160W TODAY
AND SHOWS STRONG WARM ADVECTION INTO IT AT 500 MB FOR SOME REAL MONDO
HEIGHTS. THE UPPER LOW IS NEAR THE GULF OF ANADYR AT 12Z OVER A 986
MB SURFACE LOW. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WAS APPROXIMATELY ALONG 180 AND
CAN BE SEEN SLOWLY ADVANCING AS PER THE SATELLITE LOOPER. A WAVE HAS
ALREADY BEGUN TO FORM NEAR KISKA BELOW 1000 MB AT 18Z. SATELLITE
IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS LOTS OF CIRRUS MOVING OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. A WESTERLY JET AROUND 120 KT AT 250 MB IS OFF
SAKHALIN ISLAND OUT TO AROUND 45N 175E.

AER FORECASTS - HIGH DRY GOODBYE. THE 500 MB HEIGHTS FORECASTED BY
ANY MODEL ARE INTO THE 580S WHICH MEANS EXPECT SOME PRETTY GOOD
MAXIMUM DAYTIME TEMPS PLUS LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER. THERE IS
ONE MINOR DANGER OF SUCH A FORECAST BEING INCORRECT - KEEP AN EYE ON
THE MARINE LAYER IN THE GULF. IF THERE IS ENOUGH OF AN ONSHORE SURGE
DUE TO HOT TEMPS INLAND...THEN WE COULD GET A MARINE PUSH WITH LOW
CLOUDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS FROM THE GULF AIR. THE BEST BET HOWEVER
IS STILL FOR MONDO SUMMERTIME BEACH-LIKE WEATHER FOR SOUTHCENTRAL.

ALU FORECASTS - WELL, THE BLOCK IS A BLOCK, BUT THE HIGH WILL NOT
PREVENT FRONTAL TYPE WEATHER FROM GETTING INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE K-DELTA ZONE. WE ALSO EXPECT THAT THE
DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KISKA AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIVE LOW LEVEL GALE FORCE SOUTHERLIES IN THE BERING SEA FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND ADVSRY 185 187 195.
MARINE...GALES 170 171 172 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JC AUG 05