Gale Warning 349, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 100013
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW 60NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 120NM NORTH OF
ATKA THURSDAY AFTERNOON STRENGTHENING TO 969 MB. THIS LOW WILL BE
ABSORBED BY ANOTHER LOW 100NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR THURSDAY NIGHT AT
971 MB AND THEN MOVE TO 60NM SOUTH OF SAINT GEORGE ISLAND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WEAKENING TO 979 MB.
$$

PKZ150-101500-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. WIND
INCREASING TO NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-101500-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-101500-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-101500-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-101500-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ170-101500-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-101500-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-101500-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-101500-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-101500-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101500-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-101500-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST WED MAR 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...THE GENERAL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC CONSISTS OF A LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT CURRENTLY
STRETCHES ALONG THE NORTH AMERICAN WEST COAST...AND A LONG WAVE
TROUGH THAT IS CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS IS BRINGING
A MILD WEATHER PATTERN TO SOUTHERN ALASKA.

STORMS ARE SWINGING AROUND THE ALEUTIAN LOW AND INTO ALASKA FROM THE
SOUTH. THE NEXT SYSTEM IS DUE INTO THE MAINLAND PORTION OF THE AREA
ON THURSDAY. MODELS HAVE COME TOGETHER ON THE DETAILS AND TIMING OF
THIS STORM MUCH BETTER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS THE LAST FEW DAYS.

THE WEST COAST HIGH WILL RETROGRADE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC  ON THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE RIDGE NUDGING INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA. THIS WILL
BRING A LESS ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO THE AREA. THE LATEST RUN OF
THE GFS GOES A LITTLE CRAZY AFTER ABOUT DAY SEVEN...BUT MODEL
CONSENSUS IS TO KEEP THE RIDGE AROUND FOR ABOUT A WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 2C 3A 3B 3C 4 4A 5A 5B 6A 6B 8 14.
         STORM 2B.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 14.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

BL MAR 05