Hurricane Force Wind Warning 4, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 101227
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 959 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO
SEWARD AT 966 MB THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND AND
DISSIPATE THURSDAY NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA FRI AND FRI NIGHT.


$$

PKZ120-110300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT BECOMING S 50 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
30 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-110300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-110300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-110300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS WITH RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-110300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND TO 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-110300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-110300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-110300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-110300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N TO NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1230 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...

MODEL DISCUSSION...CONSENSUS IS GFS. MODEL KEEPS TONIGHTS IN COMING
GULF OF ALASKA STORM DEEPER AND MORE OF AN EASTERLY TRACK THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. GFS ALSO FINE FOR WESTERN FORECAST ZONES. GFS
BRINGS APPROPRIATE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO NORTH GULF OF ALASKA
MARINE AREAS WITH WINDS APPROACHING WARNING CRITERIA (74 MPH PLUS)
FOR NORTH GULF COASTAL PUBLIC ZONES.

UPPER LEVELS DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA GETS PUSHED
EAST OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY AS UPPER LOW SWINGS IN FROM THE GULF ON
THURSDAY. STRONG SOUTHERLY JET IN THE GULF ALSO MOVES EAST TO BE OVER
THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY. MAIN UPPER LOW PERSISTS NEAR THE ALEUTIANS
THROUGH 60HRS LEAVING THE MAINLAND UNDER A PREDOMINATELY STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW.  FREEZING LEVELS WILL REACH 2,000 TO 4,000 FEET
ACROSS THE EASTERN INTERIOR BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SURFACE DISCUSSION...CURRENT WEATHER PROBLEMS INCLUDE FREEZING RAIN
AT SAINT PAUL, SNOW AT ILIAMNA, AND GUSTY WINDS OVER WESTERN CAPES OF
BRISTOL BAY. HAVE UPDATED THESE PUBLIC ZONES ACCORDINGLY WITH
ADVISORIES. ALL THIS WEATHER IS FROM A LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING
SEA NEAR UNALASKA ISLAND. THIS LOW WILL MOVE WEST IN RESPONSE TO THE
STORM IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND WILL FINALLY SETTLE OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS AT 60HRS.

THE GULF STORM IS CURRENTLY ABOUT 550NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF LATE TONIGHT AND THEN INTO THE COOK INLET LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONG OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF
ALASKA..WITH STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THE MARINE AREAS AND
WIND ADVISORIES IN THE PUBLIC ZONES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG
AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH..SPECIFICALLY ALONG KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
NORTH GULF COAST. LOOK FOR A LEAST WIND ADVISORIES TO CONTINUE IN
THESE AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 2C 3B 3C 4A 5A 5B 6A 6B 12 14 BERING OFFSHORE
         STORM 3A 4
         HURRICANE FORCE 2B GULF OFFSHORE

JWP MAR 05