Gale Warning 258, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 212052 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1150 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

UPDATED AREAS 2B AND 2B1

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW JUST OFF KODIAK WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS
THIS AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE N GULF
COAST THIS AFTERNOON. THE NEXT LOW WILL WILL MOVE TO SITKINAK ISLAND 
AT 997 MB TUE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP TO 1004 MB JUST OFF
CORDOVA EARLY WED MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-220300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1150 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. W OF
CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-220300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
1150 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 30 KT S OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 3 FT EXCEPT 6
FT S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-220300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-220300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SNOW AND FOG.  
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SNOW AND FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-220300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. NE GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR AUGUSTINE. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
$$

PKZ132-220300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-220300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-220300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-220300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 220026
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB 325 NM S OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO SITKINAK ISLAND TUE
AFTERNOON THEN INLAND AND DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW 375 NM S
OF COLD BAY MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SE OF COLD BAY TUE
AFTERNOON AT 990 MB AND WEAKEN TO 996 MB 325 NM E OF COLD BAY WED
AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-221500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-221500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-221500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-221500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-221500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-221500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-221500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-221500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-221500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 21 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST SUN FEB 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WITH AN
OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED FROM THE WESTERN BERING INTO THE THE WESTERN
GULF. MODERATE TO STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT AT THE SURFACE AND MID LEVELS. BACKSIDE OF THE LOW IS MODERATE
TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE
FRONT TO SWING SLOWLY NORTH AND EAST INLAND THROUGH TOMORROW. THE
BERING SEA LOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT AS A LOW
CONTINUES TO STRENGTH TO THE SOUTH. ONLY EXPECT SHOWERS WITH THE LOW
AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
AND SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO WEAKEN OVER THE BERING SEA. THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT IS WITH THIS NORTHERN PACIFIC SYSTEM AND A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. THE SHORT WAVE WILL
HELP THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AS IT PUSHES
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THEREFORE...EXPECT AN
INCREASE IN RAINFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS ALOFT.
THE INCREASE IN WINDS ALOFT WILL DOWNSLOPE MOST INLAND LOCATIONS
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT. MAY SEE SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW
TONIGHT. A WEAK SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT NEAR KODIAK BUT
PUSHES INLAND BY TOMORROW MORNING. AS THE LOW WORKS
INLAND...PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD OVER INLAND LOCATIONS LATER
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

THE NORTHERN PACIFIC PARENT LOW TO BECOME STACKED WITH THE UPPER LOW
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE MAIN ENERGY OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED
WITH THE JET IN THE EASTERN GULF. THIS WAVE TO MOVE THE FRONT OUT OF
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE NEXT FRONT IS MOVING
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF BY THIS TIME. A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG
THIS FRONT AS WELL AND PUSHES INTO KODIAK TUESDAY MORNING. MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TO ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE TUESDAY ACROSS THE
GULF. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO ROTATE AROUND THE PARENT LOW AND
DEVELOP ANOTHER SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS LOW TO MAKE
ITS WAY TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WEDNESDAY. IN THE MEANTIME...HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIAN CHAIN WHEN THE
LOW BECOMES STACKED MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AND THEN DIG INTO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 50N 160W BY
THURSDAY. THIS WILL MOVE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER FARTHER SOUTH
WITH A RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. A RESULTANT
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL PUSH ANY
DEVELOPING SURFACE FEATURES ALONG THE JET AXIS ORIENTED ALONG 140W
INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE NORTHERN
PACIFIC PUSHED EAST SLOWLY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES NEAR
KAMCHATKA BY MID WEEK. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN LATER THIS WEEK WITH THE RIDGE MOVING INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 13B
         GALE 2B 3A 5A 6A 8 12A 12B 13A 14
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 14
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN FEB 05