Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS55 KABQ 312304
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
504 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMC007-312345-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-050531T2345Z/
COLFAX-
504 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
COLFAX COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

AT 500 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 14 MILES WEST OF RATON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RATON...8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUGARITE AND 9 MILES NORTH OF RATON
  CREWS AIRPORT AROUND 545 PM MDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3702 10483 3672 10496 3664 10457 3664 10420
      3697 10411

$$

40

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
123 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. UPPER LVL
TROF AXIS IS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL RIPPLE JUST BEHIND MAIN AXIS WILL TAKE
LONGER TO EXIT THE STATE. UPPER LVL JET ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. EVEN AFTER THE S/W MOVES EAST THE PLAINS REMAIN UNDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. NOT AS MUCH UPPER LVL SUPPORT AS
YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH. LOW LVL INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE TS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. UPPER LVL WILL TURN MORE ZONAL AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST OVER OLD MEX. AFTER WED THE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE BREEZY TO WINDY CAT WED THRU SAT.
MOISTURE ALSO DECREASES OVER THE WEST DURING THIS PERIOD. ANOTHER
TROF MOVES OVER NM LATE THU AND EARLY FRI WITH THE MAIN LOBE STAYING
OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND A SMALLER LOPE MOVING OVER NORTHERN OLD
MEX. ANOTHER TROF DIGS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE FIRST LATE FRI AND SAT
WHICH KEEPS NM UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN BUILDS OVER OLD MEX AS
A STRONG CUT OFF LOW ENTERS THE PAC NORTHWEST WHICH WILL KEEP NM
UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SMALL IMPULSES WILL MOVE THRU THE FLOW
SO WILL KEEP LOW POPS OVER THE NORTHERN TIER. LOW LVL MOISTURE WILL
SKIRT THE EASTERN PLAINS THEREFORE WILL KEEP LOW POPS OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS AS IS. WILL LOOK MORE CLOSELY...AFTER A FEW MORE MODEL
RUNS...TO TWEAK POPS IN THE EAST. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OR TWO THAT
WILL BE DRY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  46  86  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  41  84  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  42  84  46  81 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  47  89  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  34  74  39  73 /  10   0   0  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  44  80  46  78 /  10   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  36  68  39  67 /  20  10  10  10
TAOS............................  38  79  42  78 /  10   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  45  80  47  80 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  47  82  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  45  85  48  85 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  57  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  53  87  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  54  84  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  56  86  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  54  90  58  89 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  52  78  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  49  82  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  54  88  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  54  79  55  77 /   0   0   0  10
RATON...........................  45  80  45  82 /  20  20  20  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  43  79  48  80 /  20  10  10  10
ROY.............................  50  80  52  83 /  30  20  20  10
CLAYTON.........................  52  80  55  83 /  20  20  20  20
SANTA ROSA......................  53  86  56  90 /  20  10  10  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  56  88  60  90 /  30  20  20  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  57  89  59  91 /  20  10  10  10
CLOVIS..........................  57  86  59  88 /  30  20  20  20
PORTALES........................  58  88  58  90 /  30  20  20  20
ROSWELL.........................  61  91  60  93 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ001>021-026-011200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS STORMS SHIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS
EVENING.

IN ADDITION...HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND
STREAMS OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN INCLUDES
THE CABRESTO CREEK AND RED RIVER...WHERE A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES.
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OVER
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS
TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY
BETWEEN 3 AND 9 PM ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

19

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
315 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             ROY                     35.95N 104.20W
05/31/2005  1.75 INCH        HARDING            NM   PUBLIC

&&

CJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
322 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             MOSQUERO                35.77N 103.95W
05/31/2005  0.75 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CJONES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
330 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ005-312200-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD CIMARRON...

AT 324 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR CIMARRON. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE MIAMI...PHILMONT SCOUT
RANCH AND RAYADO.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM WAS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE UPDATES OR
WARNINGS.

40

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
347 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HAIL             1 N CONCHAS             35.40N 104.18W
05/31/2005  0.88 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CJONES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
410 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ005-312245-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING BETWEEN CIMARRON AND MAXWELL...

AT 406 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAXWELL.
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE MAXWLL AND SPRINGER.

THESE STORMS WERE NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM WAS ARE ADVISED TO
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE
UPDATES OR WARNINGS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
415 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ005-006-312245-
HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING SOUTEAST NEAR WAGON MOUND...

AT 412 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 8 MILES EAST OF WAGON MOUND.
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE RURAL SOUTHEASTERN MORA
COUNTY...RURAL EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY AND RURAL
EXTREME WEST CENTRAL HARDING COUNTY.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM WAS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE UPDATES OR
WARNINGS.

40