Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS55 KABQ 312125
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
325 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMC021-047-312200-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-050531T2200Z/
HARDING-SAN MIGUEL-
325 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN SAN
MIGUEL AND WESTERN HARDING COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 318 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR MOSQUERO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MOSQUERO AROUND 325 PM MDT...

HAIL UP TO 0.75 INCHES IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED IN MOSQUERO 
WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE 
IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3591 10398 3584 10425 3545 10411 3555 10380

$$

40

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
123 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. UPPER LVL
TROF AXIS IS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL RIPPLE JUST BEHIND MAIN AXIS WILL TAKE
LONGER TO EXIT THE STATE. UPPER LVL JET ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. EVEN AFTER THE S/W MOVES EAST THE PLAINS REMAIN UNDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. NOT AS MUCH UPPER LVL SUPPORT AS
YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH. LOW LVL INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE TS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. UPPER LVL WILL TURN MORE ZONAL AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST OVER OLD MEX. AFTER WED THE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE BREEZY TO WINDY CAT WED THRU SAT.
MOISTURE ALSO DECREASES OVER THE WEST DURING THIS PERIOD. ANOTHER
TROF MOVES OVER NM LATE THU AND EARLY FRI WITH THE MAIN LOBE STAYING
OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND A SMALLER LOPE MOVING OVER NORTHERN OLD
MEX. ANOTHER TROF DIGS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE FIRST LATE FRI AND SAT
WHICH KEEPS NM UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN BUILDS OVER OLD MEX AS
A STRONG CUT OFF LOW ENTERS THE PAC NORTHWEST WHICH WILL KEEP NM
UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SMALL IMPULSES WILL MOVE THRU THE FLOW
SO WILL KEEP LOW POPS OVER THE NORTHERN TIER. LOW LVL MOISTURE WILL
SKIRT THE EASTERN PLAINS THEREFORE WILL KEEP LOW POPS OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS AS IS. WILL LOOK MORE CLOSELY...AFTER A FEW MORE MODEL
RUNS...TO TWEAK POPS IN THE EAST. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OR TWO THAT
WILL BE DRY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  46  86  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  41  84  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  42  84  46  81 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  47  89  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  34  74  39  73 /  10   0   0  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  44  80  46  78 /  10   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  36  68  39  67 /  20  10  10  10
TAOS............................  38  79  42  78 /  10   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  45  80  47  80 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  47  82  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  45  85  48  85 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  57  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  53  87  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  54  84  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  56  86  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  54  90  58  89 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  52  78  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  49  82  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  54  88  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  54  79  55  77 /   0   0   0  10
RATON...........................  45  80  45  82 /  20  20  20  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  43  79  48  80 /  20  10  10  10
ROY.............................  50  80  52  83 /  30  20  20  10
CLAYTON.........................  52  80  55  83 /  20  20  20  20
SANTA ROSA......................  53  86  56  90 /  20  10  10  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  56  88  60  90 /  30  20  20  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  57  89  59  91 /  20  10  10  10
CLOVIS..........................  57  86  59  88 /  30  20  20  20
PORTALES........................  58  88  58  90 /  30  20  20  20
ROSWELL.........................  61  91  60  93 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ001>021-026-011200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS STORMS SHIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS
EVENING.

IN ADDITION...HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND
STREAMS OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN INCLUDES
THE CABRESTO CREEK AND RED RIVER...WHERE A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES.
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OVER
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS
TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY
BETWEEN 3 AND 9 PM ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1242 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ004>007-011>013-018-020-021-010300-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE
COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING
COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
1242 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH
362 IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

  COLFAX          CURRY           DE BACA         GUADALUPE
  HARDING         MORA            QUAY            ROOSEVELT
  SAN MIGUEL

A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES... LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA. REMAIN ALERT AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION OUTLETS FOR LATEST
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD NOTIFY LOCAL SCHOOLS...HOSPITALS...AND
OTHER COMMUNITY SAFETY COORDINATORS ABOUT THIS TORNADO WATCH. SKYWARN
SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS SHOULD REMAIN ON STANDBY AND ALERT TO SUDDEN
AND NEARBY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. REPORT ALL SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE AT 1.888.386.7637.

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1251 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

NMZ005-311915-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING SOUTHEAST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MORA
COUNTY...

AT 1242 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF VALMORA.
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. A FUNNEL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SHOEMAKER.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM WAS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE UPDATES OR
WARNINGS.

40

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
213 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     HAIL             8 S ABBOTT              36.19N 104.26W
05/31/2005  0.75 INCH        HARDING            NM   STORM CHASER

&&

CJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
238 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0238 PM     HAIL             ROY                     35.95N 104.20W
05/31/2005  1.75 INCH        HARDING            NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0249 PM     HAIL             ROY                     35.95N 104.20W
05/31/2005  2.75 INCH        HARDING            NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
255 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             7 NE ROY                36.02N 104.11W
05/31/2005  1.75 INCH        HARDING            NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CJONES