Alert archive / Kansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Topeka, KS

June 15, 2004Marshall County, Republic County, Washington County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this flash flood warning at Jun 15, 2004, 6:28 AM CDT for Marshall County, Republic County, Washington County, Kansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2004, 6:28 AM CDT (11:28 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2004, 9:15 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Topeka, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Marshall County, KS, Republic County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 5020 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 935 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.8
Supercell composite: 14.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KTOP 151130
FFWTOP
KSC117-157-201-151415-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  REPUBLIC COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 915 AM CDT

* AT 628 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS FROM     
  BELLEVILLE TO MARYSVILLE.  AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING HAVE BEEN       
  REPORTED AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS LIKELY...     
  WHICH WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HOLLENBERG
  MAHASKA
  MUNDEN
  REPUBLIC
  BEATTIE
  SCANDIA
  VERMILLION
  BARNES
  FRANKFORT
  WATERVILLE
  BLUE RAPIDS
  LILLIS
  WASHINGTON
  BELLEVILLE
  MARYSVILLE

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER
MAY BE VERY DEEP. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE
ABANDONED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER.

LAT...LON 3998 9790 3998 9626 3957 9626 3970 9791

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 151420
FFSTOP
KSC117-157-201-151430-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
918 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR REPUBLIC...WASHINGTON AND MARSHALL 
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED.  THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA AND NO ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE 
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 15, 3:53 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 3:53 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
353 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

.DISCUSSION...

PRECIP CHANCES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE THE INITIAL CONCERNS.

NUMEROUS SHORTWAVES IN NORTHERN H500 STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH WARM AND HUMID AIR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  SEVERAL
SPOTS RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS DURING THE NIGHT...AND WITH MORE BEARING
DOWN IN THE SHORT TERM THIS MORNING...ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 3
PM TO CATCH ANY RUNOFF FROM THE MORNING STORMS.  EXPECT ACTIVITY TO
TAPER OFF RAPIDLY DURING THE MORNING WITH ONLY THE NORTHERN COUNTIES
HAVING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ANY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.

BY TONIGHT...A CUTOFF H500 LOW OVER EASTERN TEXAS WILL BE DRIFTING
TO THE NORTH...HELPING TO BUCKLE THE UPPER FLOW AND HOLD THE
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY TO MAINLY THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA.  THIS IS WHERE A SIMILAR EPISODE AS THIS MORNING IS AGAIN
EXPECTED WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING DURING THE NIGHT WITH
STORMS LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHCENTRAL COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DEPENDING ON RAINFALL REPORTS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIP BEFORE
NOON...ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAYBE REQUIRED OVERNIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

INTERACTION OF THE NORTHERN STREAM AND THE CLOSED LOW MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTH SHOULD CREATE INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO A SLIGHT CHANCE ON THURSDAY.

&&

.TOP...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 3 PM
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 4:58 AM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
458 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160918-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
420 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINS.  STORMS WILL DIMINISH BEFORE
NOON...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE NEAR THE NEBRASKA BORDER THIS
AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TONIGHT OVER NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST KANSAS...WITH ACTIVITY MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...ALONG WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION TO SOURCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
431 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SW MARYSVILLE         39.79N 96.71W
06/15/2004                   MARSHALL      KS       LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADS...WASHED SAND OFF ROADS.

&&

36

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
439 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 ENE ESKRIDGE          38.88N 96.06W
06/15/2004  60 MPH           WABAUNSEE          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

36

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
500 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 WSW COUNCIL GROVE     38.62N 96.63W
06/15/2004                   MORRIS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8 INCHES OF WATER OVER ROAD AND CREEKS RISING FAST.

0418 AM     TSTM WND DMG     8 WSW COUNCIL GROVE     38.62N 96.63W
06/15/2004                   MORRIS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 FOOT TREE BROKEN OFF WITH LOTS OF 8 TO 10 INCH BRANCHES
            BROKEN.

&&

WOLTERS

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
511 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ALTA VISTA              38.86N 96.49W
06/15/2004                   WABAUNSEE          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE DAMAGE. LIMBS AS LARGE AS 2 FEET
            IN DIAMETER. DAMAGE TO VEHICLES REPORTED AS WELL.

&&

WOLTERS

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:18 AM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
618 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 WSW EMPORIA           38.38N 96.27W
06/15/2004  65 MPH           LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

36

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:26 AM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
626 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 AM     TSTM WND GST     10 S EMPORIA            38.26N 96.18W
06/15/2004  70 MPH           LYON               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

36

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 7:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Dickinson	63 min
Jun 14, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Marshall, Nemaha	37 min
Jun 14, 9:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Washington	42 min
Jun 14, 9:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown, Marshall, Nemaha	49 min
Jun 14, 10:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown, Jackson, Nemaha	61 min
Jun 14, 11:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Marshall, Nemaha	3 hr
Jun 14, 11:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jackson	45 min
Jun 14, 11:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Washington	33 min
Jun 15, 12:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Marshall, Riley, Washington	46 min
Jun 15, 12:47 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Washington	3 hr
Jun 15, 1:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Geary	54 min
Jun 15, 1:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley	61 min
Jun 15, 1:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Geary	3 hr
Jun 15, 2:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Geary	45 min
Jun 15, 2:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Marshall, Washington	4 hr
Jun 15, 2:48 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Riley	4 hr
Jun 15, 3:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Dickinson, Geary	45 min
Jun 15, 3:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Cloud, Republic	60 min
Jun 15, 3:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Lyon, Morris, Wabaunsee	55 min
Jun 15, 4:21 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Geary	3 hr
Jun 15, 4:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Osage, Shawnee	52 min
Jun 15, 4:52 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Morris	3 hr
Jun 15, 5:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Lyon	59 min
Jun 15, 5:06 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Wabaunsee	3 hr
Jun 15, 5:44 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Lyon	3 hr
Jun 15, 5:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Lyon, Morris	42 min
Jun 15, 6:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Coffey, Lyon, Osage	63 min
Jun 15, 8:43 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Lyon	92 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.