Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 27, 2004, 6:25 PM EDT for Lee County, Florida. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 27, 2004, 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 27, 2004, 7:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 50 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Lee County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 421 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -211 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1084 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 27, 1:00 PM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 1:00 PM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 100 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-TUE)...MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM CENTRAL-SOUTHERN PENINSULA SHOWING SE FLOW BEGINNING TO DEEPEN. SO EXPECT AFTERNOON W COAST SEA BREEZE CONVECTION TO COLLIDE WITH EAST COAST BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO LAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE WEST COAST. SO HAVE INCREASED EVENING POPS TO SCT WITH ACTIVITY WINDING DOWN BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. MAY SEE TEMPS IN RAIN COOLED AREAS DROP TO CLIMO SO AM LEANING CLOSER TO MET LOWS. MODELS CONTINUE WITH FAIR AGREEMENT OF THE PATTERN NEXT FEW DAYS. WEAK UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION TO SINK SOUTH AS GULF TUTT MOVES INTO NE GULF THEN OVER N FL MON/TUE. SFC/MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS REMAIN JUST N OF THE BAY AREA CONTINUING TO DEEPEN SE FLOW. TIME HEIGHT SECTIONS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS...FROM BAY AREA S...SHOWING SE FLOW THRU AT LEAST 10K FT IN MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. WITH TUTT ENERGY COMBINING WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS EXPECT MORE COVERAGE IN PRECIP MON/TUE. THIS FLOW PATTERN TYPICALLY PRODUCES MORE ACTIVITY FOR THE AREA FROM AROUND THE BAY SOUTHWARD...SO WILL INCREASE POPS TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON TO SCT LATE EVENING. TEMP NEAR NORMAL. .LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT - SUN)...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER OR JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BAY AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES FROM THE BAHAMAS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THE WAVE MAY SUPPRESS CONVECTION A BIT...SO HAVE OPTED TO DEPICT 40% POPS FOR ALL ZONES. AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WEST INTO THE GULF ON THURSDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL COME UNDER MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES UNDER A DEEP SELY WIND FLOW...AND WILL DEPICT 50% POPS. DURING FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE GFS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN SURFACE RIDGE POSITION...WITH THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINING OVER OR JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BAY AREA. THIS WILL SUPPORT A TYPICAL SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW REGIME FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...WHICH WILL FAVOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GIVEN THIS WILL KEEP POPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO-LEVELS (50%) ACROSS THE BOARD. MAX TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL DUE TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES. && .MARINE...WEAK RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS KEEPING WINDS AND SEAS LIGHT...EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. NO HIGHLIGHTS. && .FIRE WX...PLENTY OF LL MOISTURE IN PLACE KEEPING MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. NO HIGHLIGHTS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 75 91 76 91 / 40 60 40 60 FMY 74 92 74 92 / 40 60 40 60 GIF 74 92 74 92 / 30 50 40 60 SRQ 73 90 73 90 / 40 60 40 60 BKV 70 91 71 91 / 20 50 30 50 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && RD/JM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 5:19 AM EDT, 13 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 519 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-271416- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 519 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REFORM OVER LAND ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTHWARD WHILE THE AREA FROM TAMPA BAY TO FORT MYERS WILL SEE STORMS MOVING GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SELF ACTIVATE TODAY WHENEVER THE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME THREATENING. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 5:14 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 514 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ039-272200- LEVY- 514 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN LEVY COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT WILLISTON...UNTIL 600 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
Local storm report, Jun 27, 5:27 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
527 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0243 PM TSTM WND DMG GARDNER 27.35N 81.81W
06/27/2004 HARDEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF COLLAPSE ON A NEW CONSTRUCTION. FOUR HOMES DAMAGED
BY LARGE TREES
0242 PM TSTM WND DMG GARDNER 27.35N 81.81W
06/27/2004 HARDEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
3 FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN
&&
CMRSpecial weather statement, Jun 27, 5:35 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 535 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ050-272215- PINELLAS- 535 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PINELLAS PARK... A THUNDERSTORM...NEARLY STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT SAINT PETERSBURG...LEALMAN...TREASURE ISLAND AND SEMINOLE...UNTIL 615 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 5:56 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 556 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ049-272245- PASCO- 556 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN PASCO COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT DADE CITY AND DADE CITY NORTH...UNTIL 645 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 6:01 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 601 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ065-272300- LEE- 601 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN LEE COUNTY... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT LEHIGH ACRES...WHISKEY CREEK...TICE AND SUNCOAST ESTATES...UNTIL 700 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 6:05 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 605 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ048-272245- HERNANDO- 605 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN HERNANDO COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT RIDGE MANOR...UNTIL 645 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hardee | 28 min |
| Jun 27, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 49 min |
| Jun 27, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Manatee | 37 min |
| Jun 27, 4:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 47 min |
| Jun 27, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 48 min |
| Jun 27, 6:37 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 53 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.