Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 27, 2004, 3:53 PM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 27, 2004, 3:53 PM EDT (19:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 27, 2004, 4:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 37 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Manatee County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 27 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 421 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -211 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1084 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
426 WUUS52 KTBW 271953 SVRTBW FLC081-272030- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 352 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 352 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER EASTERN MANATEE COUNTY. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT... DUETTE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...MAINLY TO TREES AND POWER LINES. POORLY ANCHORED ROOFS...MOBILE HOMES...AND SHEDS ARE ALSO AT RISK. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN. && LAT...LON 2764 8226 2748 8236 2736 8215 2756 8203 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 27, 1:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 1:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 100 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-TUE)...MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM CENTRAL-SOUTHERN PENINSULA SHOWING SE FLOW BEGINNING TO DEEPEN. SO EXPECT AFTERNOON W COAST SEA BREEZE CONVECTION TO COLLIDE WITH EAST COAST BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO LAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE WEST COAST. SO HAVE INCREASED EVENING POPS TO SCT WITH ACTIVITY WINDING DOWN BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. MAY SEE TEMPS IN RAIN COOLED AREAS DROP TO CLIMO SO AM LEANING CLOSER TO MET LOWS. MODELS CONTINUE WITH FAIR AGREEMENT OF THE PATTERN NEXT FEW DAYS. WEAK UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION TO SINK SOUTH AS GULF TUTT MOVES INTO NE GULF THEN OVER N FL MON/TUE. SFC/MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS REMAIN JUST N OF THE BAY AREA CONTINUING TO DEEPEN SE FLOW. TIME HEIGHT SECTIONS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS...FROM BAY AREA S...SHOWING SE FLOW THRU AT LEAST 10K FT IN MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. WITH TUTT ENERGY COMBINING WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS EXPECT MORE COVERAGE IN PRECIP MON/TUE. THIS FLOW PATTERN TYPICALLY PRODUCES MORE ACTIVITY FOR THE AREA FROM AROUND THE BAY SOUTHWARD...SO WILL INCREASE POPS TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON TO SCT LATE EVENING. TEMP NEAR NORMAL. .LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT - SUN)...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER OR JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BAY AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES FROM THE BAHAMAS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THE WAVE MAY SUPPRESS CONVECTION A BIT...SO HAVE OPTED TO DEPICT 40% POPS FOR ALL ZONES. AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WEST INTO THE GULF ON THURSDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL COME UNDER MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES UNDER A DEEP SELY WIND FLOW...AND WILL DEPICT 50% POPS. DURING FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE GFS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN SURFACE RIDGE POSITION...WITH THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINING OVER OR JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BAY AREA. THIS WILL SUPPORT A TYPICAL SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW REGIME FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...WHICH WILL FAVOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GIVEN THIS WILL KEEP POPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO-LEVELS (50%) ACROSS THE BOARD. MAX TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL DUE TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES. && .MARINE...WEAK RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS KEEPING WINDS AND SEAS LIGHT...EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. NO HIGHLIGHTS. && .FIRE WX...PLENTY OF LL MOISTURE IN PLACE KEEPING MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. NO HIGHLIGHTS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 75 91 76 91 / 40 60 40 60 FMY 74 92 74 92 / 40 60 40 60 GIF 74 92 74 92 / 30 50 40 60 SRQ 73 90 73 90 / 40 60 40 60 BKV 70 91 71 91 / 20 50 30 50 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && RD/JM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 5:19 AM EDT, 10 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 519 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-271416- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 519 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REFORM OVER LAND ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTHWARD WHILE THE AREA FROM TAMPA BAY TO FORT MYERS WILL SEE STORMS MOVING GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SELF ACTIVATE TODAY WHENEVER THE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME THREATENING. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 2:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 221 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ052-056-057-271930- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-POLK- 221 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT FROSTPROOF... A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT FORT MEADE...FROSTPROOF...AND WAUCHULLA UNTIL 330 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 2:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 243 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ051-055-271930- HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE- 243 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PALMETTO... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT SAMOSET...ELLENTON...PARRISH AND PALMETTO...UNTIL 330 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 3:26 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 326 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ056-272015- HARDEE- 326 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HARDEE COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT ZOLFO SPRINGS...WAUCHULA...ONA AND FORT GREEN...UNTIL 415 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 3:29 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 329 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ049-051-052-055-272100- HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-PASCO-POLK- 329 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON... THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A BOUNDARY COLLISION ACROSS EASTERN MANATEE...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH...SOUTHEASTERN PASCO...AND EXTREME WESTERN POLK COUTNIES BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM. SCATTERED STRONG STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH THAT WILL CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 3:33 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ039-272015- LEVY- 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL EFFECT NORTHERN LEVY COUNTY... A THUNDERSTORM...NEARLY STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT CHIEFLAND...UNTIL 415 PM EDT. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR BRONSON. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL.
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 3:50 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 350 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 FLZ061-272030- DE SOTO- 350 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN DESOTO COUTNY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH ...WILL AFFECT RURAL NORTHERN DESOTO COUNTY...UNTIL 430 PM EDT. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD ARCADIA BY 430 PM. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hardee | 28 min |
| Jun 27, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 49 min |
| Jun 27, 4:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 47 min |
| Jun 27, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 48 min |
| Jun 27, 6:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Lee | 50 min |
| Jun 27, 6:37 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 53 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.